Onto the NRL’s big day and Grand Final for 2026 where we have really reached the sharp end of the season, which also includes the Sharpe end for Newcastle too as the Knights are looking to upgrade their 2025 wooden spoon into silverware in a great story for rugby league. But for all the good story that Newcastle are, there’s the undeniable factor of the Roosters finals experience and daunting form on Friday silencing most of Suncorp Stadium. Talking about form, silverware and upgrading, our NRL Grand Final Tips, Predictions & Stats has all the form, H2H stats and facts you need to tip a winner or just to enjoy the last weekend of NRL on as many levels as possible.
Each week this season we have offered up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, plus throw in our weekly predictions and the final series is no different. Plus we have added finals stats and records.
NRL Grand Final Tips
Here are our tips for the big game ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below and kind of ignoring most of it.
NEWCASTLE by 2
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NRL Grand Final Tips Ratings
We take all the H2H Stats, 2026 Form, each team’s records on certain days, finals history, grounds and more and mash the numbers together to come up with a H2H Ratings for each game. It’s a quick and easy way of blaming someone else for incorrect tips. This week’s offering is below.
NRL Grand Final Tips Stats
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games? Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual. How about a bunch of barely interesting stats? All you need and want is below.
STATS:
ROO+ > Roosters have won 6 games in a row v Newcastle.
ROO+ > Roosters have won 10 of the last 11 games v Newcastle and 16 of the last 18.
ROO+ > Roosters have won 5 in a row v Newcastle on a Sunday and have scored exactly 38 points in the last three matches. They have also won the last four Sunday home games.
ROO+ > Roosters have won 6 in a row away to Newcastle and lead the H2H away 19-5. So not just a home dominance.
ROO+ > Roosters lead the Finals H2H v Newcastle by 5-1
ROO+ > Roosters are W5 L1 for Sunday night games going back to 2021.
ROO- > Roosters have won two of their last ten games at the Olympic Stadium since 2020.
ROO- > Roosters have lost their last two Sunday games.
NEW+ > Newcastle lead the Roosters 4-1 in the H2H at non-regular home grounds, including all four at the Central Coast Stadium.
NEW+ > No team has played more Sunday games than Newcastle this season with 15. Their overall Sunday record in 2026 is W10 L5.
NEW+ > Newcastle are W2 L1 at the Olympic Stadium this season.
NEW- > Newcastle are W16 L21 at the Olympic Stadium going back to 1998.
NEW? > Newcastle are W2 L2 at the Olympic Stadium for finals.
NEW- > Newcastle are W3 L3 for Sunday night games going back to 2021.
NEW- > Sunday’s final win broke a run of three straight losses at the Olympic Stadium on a Sunday for Newcastle.
NEW? > Newcastle are W2 L2 at the Olympic Stadium for finals. Last H2H – SAT 26/10/24
NEW? > Newcastle narrowly missed out on scoring 20 in a final v a Sydney team for four games in a row last weekend by scoring 22.
FINAL WORD: Stats say Roosters, just like they did for Souths, Warriors and Penrith v Newcastle during the finals series. The Roosters did take it to another level on Friday, but Newcastle’s spirit beating Penrith with a player down really gives them a real belief, and they have been awesome in every game so far in the finals series. There’s just something about this Newcastle side that makes one overlook head for heart.
NRL Grand Final Tips General Stats
OVERALL FINALS RECORD
FINALS COMPARISON to 2026 SEASON
2026 Season Stats
Your one-stop shop for stats and stuff from the 2026 NRL season.
KEY STATS
RESULTS
HALVES
POINTS
FIRST/LAST TRIES
