Discover the best football draw predictions with data-driven analysis, opinion, draw trends, and expert picks from England & Europe’s top leagues. And leagues that aren’t quite as top.
They say there can only be winners and losers in sport, but of course they’re wrong and they’re fools, there’s always another result, a special one for learned sporting fans – the draw. And who doesn’t love a draw where no one loses. The real winners include canny punters who look for value, and The Gurgler website is always happy to help with predictions, opinion and stats, so welcome to our Football Draw Predictions Weekly for another weekend of balanced football.
Our resident draw expert Frankington Stanley runs his keen eye over the many football divisions around the world to find the best draws for you. He’s sort of like the John West of Football draws, he hates Dog Salmon and lop-sided fixtures. The fewer the goals the better too.
Frankington Stanley is not fussy, no country or continent is out of bounds, and the more obscure the better. And some of them are quite obscure, just the way he likes it. So enjoy another weekly serving of the finest Football Draws Predictions from all over the world, where The Gurgler and Frankington Stanley take the stale out of stalemate.
Football Draw Predictions Weekly
DRAW OF THE WEEK
England » Championship – 2026/2027 » Cardiff-Charlton
Kick off: 12:30 Date: Sat, 19-Sep-26
Why: The last three games between these sides ended in a draw and four of the last six. Two of the last four games between the sides at Cardiff have ended 0-0. Charlton have drawn three of their seven so far (with three wins) while Cardiff have drawn four of their seven so far (for no wins). Cardiff have drawn all three at home. Charlton one draw from three away.
OTHER FOOTBALL DRAW PREDICTIONS
England » Premier League – 2026/2027 » Brentford-Chelsea
Kick off: 20:00 Fri, 18-Sep-26
Why: The last four games between these sides at Brentford have ended in a draw. Brentford have also drawn three of their first four games to start the season.
England » Premier League – 2026/2027 » Bournemouth-Liverpool
Kick off: 14:00 Date: Sun, 20-Sep-26
Why: Both teams have drawn three of their first four games this season. Although in the league there is just one draw from their 18 matches played.
England » Championship – 2026/2027 » Queens Park Rangers-Preston
Kick off:15:00 Date: Sat, 19-Sep-26
Why: Both games ended in a draw last season 1-1. QPR have drawn three of their seven games this season, and Preston have lost 6/7 games this season and all three away, so will probably settle for a draw.
England » League Two – 2026/2027 » Chesterfield-York
Kick off:15:00 Date: Sat, 19-Sep-26
Why: Chesterfield are D2 L1 at home. York are D2 L1 away. Smells like a draw.
Spain » LaLiga – 2026/2027 » Celta Vigo-Racing Santander
Kick off: 17:30 Date: Sat, 19-Sep-26
Why: Celta Vigo have drawn their last three games and are currently winless with four draws from six games. Racing Santander have lost all three games away and are coming off a 7-2 away loss to Barcelona, so a draw sounds all right. Plus two of the last three games, and three of the last five games at Celta Vigo ended in a draw.
Italy » Serie A – 2026/2027 » Venezia-Lazio
Kick off:19:45 Date :Sat, 19-Sep-26
Why: Three of the last four games between these teams in Venice have ended in a draw. The home side Venezia are yet to score a point, so a draw against a good opponent might be a useful start. Lazio have started well this season with three wins and a draw. The draw being the last result.
DRAW STATS
Want and need to know about which leagues draw the most in case of selections above aren’t enough? Of course you do, and so here are the draw % results from the past three seasons.
Ranking by 2-year average draw rate
| Competition | 2023/24 Draw % | 2024/25 Draw % | 2-Season Average |
| Primeira Liga | 27.6% | 26.8% | 27.2% |
| League Two | 26.6% | 26.1% | 26.4% |
| La Liga | 26.3% | 26.0% | 26.2% |
| Championship | 26.3% | 25.8% | 26.0% |
| Serie A | 25.5% | 26.3% | 25.9% |
| Ekstraklasa | 25.3% | 24.8% | 25.1% |
| Belgian Pro League | 24.7% | 25.1% | 24.9% |
| Premier League | 23.7% | 25.3% | 24.5% |
| League One | 24.7% | 24.2% | 24.5% |
| National League | 24.9% | 24.0% | 24.5% |
| Ligue 1 | 24.6% | 23.5% | 24.1% |
| Eredivisie | 22.5% | 23.2% | 22.9% |
| Bundesliga | 18.9% | 22.2% | 20.6% |
AI Football Draw Predictions
For all the effort we put in at The Gurgler, AI can do it in about ten seconds, so why not harness the power of AI and go Head to Head against it for the Football season.
| League | Most Likely Draw | Why |
| Premier League | Brentford vs Chelsea | Win probabilities are relatively balanced compared with the rest of the round. |
| La Liga | Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano | One of the closest-rated fixtures of the weekend. |
| Serie A | Monza vs Sassuolo | Neither side strongly favoured, suggesting a high draw probability. |
| Bundesliga | Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg | Almost identical win probabilities (39.9% vs 35.2%). |
| Ligue 1 | Paris FC vs Strasbourg | Essentially a pick’em game on the odds board. |
| Championship | Birmingham City vs Middlesbrough | Both teams priced very similarly. |
| League One | Leyton Orient vs Stevenage | Closely matched sides with little separating them in pricing. |
| League Two | Rochdale vs Oldham | Local derby and already widely tipped as a 1-1 draw. |
| National League | Woking vs Kidderminster Harriers | Most evenly balanced National League fixture this weekend. |
AI strongest draw selections
If AI had to build a draw accumulator, AI’d rank them:
- Frankfurt vs Freiburg (Bundesliga) [bing.com]
- Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano (La Liga) [bing.com]
- Woking vs Kidderminster (National League) [espn.com]
- Birmingham vs Middlesbrough (Championship) [espn.com]
- Rochdale vs Oldham (League Two) [livescore.com]
Best single draw pick of the weekend: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Freiburg. The predictive model has the sides almost perfectly matched, which is usually where draw value is highest. [bing.com]
