Hard to believe we’re up to Round 23 of the NRL and just five round to go before the finals. Also hard to believe the Roosters could score 82 points against the Cowboys in North Queensland and not have Bob Katter chasing them down the street. Also hard to believe that a side stacked as well as the Broncos have limped out of final contention. Easy to believe the Wests Tigers threw another win. Talking of believing, our NRL Round 23 Tips Predictions & Stats will give you the power to believe in your tipping for the final weeks of your tipping competition/s.
Each week this season we will offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, plus throw in our weekly predictions like chicken salt on hot chips and you have something that seagulls and humans will fight over.
NRL Round 23 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
NORTH QUEENSLAND by 8
PENRITH by 4
ROOSTERS by 16
MANLY by 10
DOLPHINS by 18
SOUTH SYDNEY by 14
NEWCASTLE by 8
ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA by 2
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Related
NRL Round 23 Tips Weekly H2H Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games? Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
NRL Round 23 Ratings
We take all the H2H Stats, 2026 Form, each team’s records on certain days, grounds and more and mash the numbers together to come up with a H2H Ratings for each game. This week’s offering is below.
NRL Round 23 Tips – Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for your convenience and arguments. We’ve added a plus or minus with the team in question to hint whether it’s a good or bad stat too, with the bolded stats our favourite.
THURSDAY 8PM – GOLD COAST v NORTH QUEENSLAND
GCT+ > Gold Coast have won four of their last 6 home games v North Qld.
GCT+ > Gold Coast have won three of their last four on a Thursday.
GCT- > Gold Coast have lost four in a row at home to Qld sides.
GCT- > Gold Coast’s win over the Broncos earlier in the season broke a run of nine straight losses to Qld sides.
NQL+ > North Qld have won seven of the last nine v Gold Coast.
NQL+ > These teams have only met once before on a Thursday, and it was at CBUS Stadium and the Cowboys won 32-6.
NQL+ > North Qld have won five of their last seven away games on a Thursday.
NQL- > Cowboys have lost their last three Thursday games and are averaging 54.3 points against in that run. Conceding 82 points last Thursday didn’t help.
FRIDAY 6PM – WAHS v PENRITH
WAHS+ > Warriors lead the Thursday H2H at Mt Smart Stadium by 2-1.
WAHS+ > Warriors are W2 L1 at Mt Smart Stadium on a Friday this season, with their only loss v Wests Tigers, which hasn’t aged well.
WAHS+ > Since returning to Mt Smart Stadium after Covid in 2022, the Wahs are W8 L6 v Sydney teams at their ground and W10 L8 overall on a Friday.
WAHS? > It could get interesting if the Wahs lead at half time. Although unlikely as Penrith are W16 L2 D1 at half time this season. But the Wahs are unbeaten in ten games that they have led at half time, and their W14 D3 L2 second half record is the season’s best.
PEN+ > Penrith have won 11 of their last 12 games v Warriors.
PEN+ > Penrith have won 7 of the last 8 games as the away side v Warriors.
PEN+ > Penrith have won their last three games at Mt Smart Stadium.
PEN+ > Penrith have won all five Friday games this season.
PEN+ > Penrith have won 6 games in a row away on a Friday.
PEN+ > Penrith have won all seven games v top half opposition (ladder position at time of game).
PEN? > Since 1998, Penrith’s record in New Zealand on any ground v any team is W12 L9.
PEN+ > Penrith are one of two sides that are unbeaten on a Friday this season. Parramatta is the other.
FRIDAY 8PM – ROOSTERS v BULLDOGS
ROO+ > Roosters have won three in a row and five of their last 6 at the Sydney Football Stadium v Bulldogs.
ROO+ > Roosters have won four in a row and seven of their last eight at the Sydney Football Stadium v Bulldogs on a Friday.
ROO+ > The home side (either team) has won the last 6 matches between these teams.
ROO+ > Roosters have won their last 6 matches coming into this weekend.
ROO+ > Going back to 2020, the Roosters are W16 L3 as the home side on a Friday v all teams.
BUL+ > Bulldogs have won 6 of their last 7 matches.
BUL+ > The Bulldogs have now won their last two away matches after losing the previous 6.
BUL- > Bulldogs have lost seven in a row away to Sydney clubs.
BUL- > Bulldogs have lost 13 in a row away to Sydney clubs on a Friday, with a last win in March 2016.
SATURDAY 3PM – MELBOURNE v MANLY @ HBF Park Perth
Both teams record in Perth v all teams at any ground:
Melbourne: W4 L2
Manly: W3 L1
MEL+ > Melbourne lead the H2H for matches at non regular grounds v Manly by 5-2, including two Grand Finals.
MEL- > Melbourne have won only three of their last ten games as the home side at a non regular ground.
MEL- > Melbourne are W3 L4 on a Saturday this season.
MAN+ > Manly have won the last two games v Melbourne on a Saturday, including one earlier this season.
MAN+ > Manly have won five of the last seven games v Melbourne.
MAN+ > Manly are W4 L2 on a Saturday this season.
MAN+ > Going back to 2017, Manly’s record away on a Saturday to non-Sydney teams is W14 D1 L2.
MAN- > Manly have lost four away games in a row.
SATURDAY 5:30PM – DOLPHINS v BRISBANE @ Suncorp Stadium
DOL+ > The Dolphins only win over the Broncos came on a Saturday night at Suncorp Stadium.
DOL+ > Dolphins have won their last 6 home games at Suncorp Stadium, with the only loss this season at the ground as the home side coming in Round 1 v Souths. They are W1 L1 as the away side at Suncorp Stadium in 2026.
DOL+ > Dolphins are W6 L2 v Qld teams on a Saturday.
DOL? > Dolphins record at Suncorp Stadium on a Saturday is W6 L4.
BRI+ > Broncos lead the Battle of Brisbane H2H by 6-1.
BRI- > Brisbane have the second worst home record this season – W2 L8.
BRI- > Broncos have lost ten of their last 11 games.
BRI- > Broncos have lost 6 in a row on a Saturday.
BRI- > Broncos have lost all three Saturday games at Suncorp Stadium this season.
BRI- > Broncos have lost their last three games v Qld teams.
SATURDAY 7:30PM – SOUTH SYDNEY v PARRAMATTA
SOU+ > South Sydney have won 10 of their last 11 v Parramatta.
SOU+ > South Sydney have won their last 6 home games v Parramatta on a Saturday.
SOU+ > South Sydney have won nine of their last 11 home games, with the two losses coming at Suncorp Stadium and Perth.
SOU+ > South Sydney have won seven in a row at the Olympic Stadium.
SOU+ > Going back to 2010, Souths’ record at the Olympic Stadium on a Saturday v Sydney clubs is W22 L4.
PAR- > Parramatta are W3 L6 away this season, two of those wins coming in Qld.
PAR- > Parramatta’s win over the Wests Tigers last Sunday ended a run of nine straight losses for them away to Sydney teams.
PAR- > Parramatta have lost five in a row and 10 of their last 11 away to Sydney teams on a Saturday.
SUNDAY 2PM – CANBERRA v NEWCASTLE
CAN+ > Canberra have won their last two Sunday home games.
CAN+ > Canberra have won seven of their last nine home games in Canberra v non-Sydney teams.
CAN+ > Canberra have won eight of their last ten home games in Canberra v non-Sydney teams on a Sunday.
NEW- > Newcastle have won two of their last 13 Sunday games away from home.
SUNDAY 4PM – ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA v CRONULLA @ Kogarah
CRO+ > Cronulla have won 11 of their last 12 games v St George Illawarra. At least for the Dragons the only loss in that run was the most recent game at Kogarah.
CRO+ > Cronulla have won five in a row on a Sunday v Dragons.
CRO+ > Aside from losing the most recent game at Kogarah, the Sharks won five in a row before that, and the last two games on a Sunday.
CRO+ > Cronulla have won eight of their last nine on a Sunday, all but three were at Shark Park.
STI- > St George Illawarra are W1 L7 on a Sunday this season.
STI- > The Dragons have also lost nine in a row on a Sunday to Sydney teams. Plus four in a row at home on a Sunday.
STI- > The Dragons have lost all nine games v top half opposition (ladder position at time of game).
2026 Season Stats so far……up to Round 22
Your one-stop shop for stats and stuff from 2026 so far.
LADDER AND FORM
Current ladder and latest form with a 2026 progress chart.
RESULTS
All the form of Home v Away, Top v Bottom sides and Happy v Sad Days.
POINTS
Lots of points of interest.
HALVES
A tale of two halves and all the stats we can find relating to them.
TRIES – ALL, FIRST AND LAST
Overall try scoring stats with a focus on first and last try scorer in case folk like a wager.
