Proper NRL is back. Eight games, proper teams, and no Channel Nein. Talking of proper, our NRL Round 21 Tips Predictions & Stats will have just enough information for you to have a proper crack over the final weeks of tipping competitions around the world.
Each week this season we will offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, plus throw in our weekly predictions like chicken salt on hot chips and you have something that seagulls and humans will fight over.
NRL Round 21 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
PARRAMATTA by 2
ROOSTERS by 8
SOUTH SYDNEY by 6
CANBERRA by 20
WARRIORS by 10
BRISBANE by 4
ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA by 2
CRONULLA by 6
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Related
NRL Round 21 Tips Weekly H2H Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games? Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
NRL Round 21 Tips – Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for your convenience and arguments. We’ve added a plus or minus with the team in question to hint whether it’s a good or bad stat too, with the bolded stats our favourite.
THU 8PM – PARRAMATTA v PENRITH
PEN+ > Penrith have won their last four games at CommBank Stadium as the away side.
PEN+ > Penrith have won five in a
PEN- > Penrith have lost eight of their last nine Thursday games.
PEN- > Penrith are averaging just 14 points per game on a Thursday, only the Cowboys’ 6.0 per game is lower. Penrith average 30.3 points per game across all matches this season.
PEN- > Panthers have also lost five in a row away on a Thursday, conceding between 28 and 32 across those five losses.
PAR+ > Parramatta have won 6 of their last 9 v Sydney clubs at home on a Thursday.
PAR- > Parramatta have won just once in their last 6 games on a Thursday.
FRI 6PM – NEWCASTLE v ROOSTERS
ROO+ > Roosters have won five straight v Newcastle.
ROO+ > Roosters have won 19 of their last 22 games v Newcastle going back to 2012.
ROO+ > Roosters are W5 L4 v top half teams (top half at time of match) while Newcastle are W3 L6.
NEW+ > Newcastle have won four in a row at home to Sydney clubs.
NEW? > It’s W3 L4 for Friday night home games for Newcastle v Roosters.
NEW? > Newcastle won their only Friday home game this season, but lost all four last season.
NEW- > Newcastle’s all-time home record v Roosters is W5 L18 and five home losses in a row with a last win in 2019.
FRI 8PM – SOUTH SYDNEY v MELBOURNE
MEL+ > Melbourne have won the last three and six of the last seven games away to the Rabbitohs.
MEL+ > Melbourne lead the H2H at the Olympic Stadium v Souths by 9-3.
MEL+ > Melbourne have won five in a row on a Friday v South Sydney.
MEL- > Melbourne have lost six games in row away on a Friday and won just two of their last 11 Friday away games.
MEL- > It’s W1 L7 away to Sydney teams on a Friday and lost their last four away to Sydney teams on any day this season.
MEL- > Melbourne have won just two away games this season and none of the three away to top eight clubs.
SOU+ > South Sydney have won six in a row as the home side at the Olympic Stadium.
SOU+ > Souths have won their last three on a Friday as the home side at the Olympic Stadium.
SOU- > Souths have won just one of their last seven games on a Friday.
SAT 3PM – CANBERRA v WESTS TIGERS
CAN+ > Canberra have quietly put together a run of three straight wins at the right time of the year.
CAN+ > Since 2016, Canberra’s record v Wests Tigers is W14 L3.
CAN+ > Canberra have won five in a row v Wests Tigers in Canberra.
CAN+ > Canberra have lost only once to the Wests Tigers in Canberra on a Saturday – W7 L1.
CAN+ > Canberra have won six in a row v Wests Tigers on a Saturday anywhere.
CAN+ > Canberra are W5 L1 on a Saturday this season v all teams.
WTI- > Wests Tigers are W2 L6 on a Saturday this season.
WTI- > Wests Tigers have lost eight in a row away on a Saturday and won just once in 17 away games on a Saturday.
WTI- > Wests Tigers share the worst away form v bottom half teams with Manly on W1 L4.
SAT 5:30PM – BULLDOGS v WAHS
BUL+ > Bulldogs have won three in a row v Wahs.
BUL+ > Bulldogs have won five of their past seven games at the Olympic Stadium.
BUL? > Bulldogs are W7 L5 v Wahs at Olympic Stadium.
BUL- > Bulldogs average just 7.5 points in the first half this season. Warriors are 13.8.
WAHS+ > Wahs lost their most recent away game on a Saturday but won five in a row before that scoring 30 or more points in each win.
WAHS+ > Wahs have won five of their last six away to Sydney teams on Saturday.
WAHS+ > Warriors have the best second half record this season at W13 D2 L2.
SAT 7:30PM – NORTH QUEENSLAND v BRISBANE
NQL+ > North Queensland have won two of three Saturday home games this season with their two wins coming against Penrith and Melbourne.
NQL- > North Queensland have lost seven in a row at home to Brisbane based sides – Dolphins and Broncos.
BRI+ > Brisbane have won their last three games v Cowboys in Townsville.
BRI+ > Brisbane are W8 L3 in their last 11 games v Qld sides.
BRI- > Brisbane have lost their last four Saturday games. But did win the six in a row before that.
SUN 2PM – ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA v GOLD COAST @ Kogarah
STI+ > With the aid of two byes, the Dragons would be 11th on a ladder from between Round 13 and 20, ahead of Brisbane, North Queensland and Manly.
STI+ > Dragons have won four in a row v Gold Coast at home, only one game of that run was at Kogarah.
STI+ > St George Illawarra have won both games v Gold Coast at Kogarah on a Sunday.
STI+ > St George Illawarra are W6 L2 v Qld teams at Kogarah on a Sunday.
STI- > Dragons have lost six of their seven Sunday games this season. All Sunday games have been away for the Dragons this season.
STI- > No team averages fewer points on a Sunday than the Dragons’ 16 per game.
GCT- > Gold Coast have won just two games away from home this season.
GCT- > Gold Coast have won just one of their last 12 games away on a Sunday.
GCT- > Gold Coast have won just one of their last 10 games away on a Sunday v Sydney teams.
SUN 4PM – MANLY v CRONULLA
MAN- > Manly have gone quietly about a three game run of losses and have won just two of their last seven.
MAN- > Manly have lost nine of their last 11 games on a Sunday v all teams.
CRO+ > Cronulla have won seven of the last eight v Manly.
CRO+ > Cronulla have won five in a row as the away side v Manly, four in a row were at Brookvale. They scored exactly 40 points in three of those games. Four of those games were on a Sunday.
CRO+ > Cronulla’s last away game ended in a 66-0 victory.
CRO+ > Cronulla are W6 L1 on a Sunday.
NRL Round 21 Ratings
We take all the H2H Stats, 2026 Form, each team’s records on certain days, grounds and more and mash the numbers together to come up with a H2H Ratings for each game. This week’s offering is below.
2026 Season Stats so far……up to Round 20
Your one-stop shop for stats and stuff from 2026 so far.
LADDER AND FORM
Current ladder and latest form with a 2026 progress chart.
RESULTS
All the form of Home v Away, Top v Bottom sides and Happy v Sad Days.
POINTS
Lots of points of interest.
HALVES
A tale of two halves and all the stats we can find relating to them.
TRIES – ALL, FIRST AND LAST
Overall try scoring stats with a focus on first and last try scorer in case folk like a wager.
