NRL | 2026 NRL Round 7 Ratings and Late Mail

Been too distracted by disruption? Been too crowded on the train trying to save fuel to read the form guide? Do you need some last-minute NRL tipping advice? Or simply want something else to blame when the tips go wrong? Either way, The Gurgler’s 2026 NRL Round 7 Ratings and Late Mail is here to deliver a little help.

In addition to our huge stable of NRL stats and tipping gear, we have used all the stats we have, smashed them against each other like atoms, and come up with a H2H rating as dangerous to the outside world as Chernobyl.

We include lots of things, and add to it as the season progresses, come up with a magic number for each team, then slice up the scores out of 100% between the two sides. The bigger the percentage, the more likely to win.

And always, Win Early, Win Often.

2026 NRL Round 7 Ratings

Here are the latest H2H ratings and winners for the big weekend of NRL action ahead. 

2026 NRL Round 7 Late Mail + Good v Grape

Now we go through every game pointing out the good and the grape (a different way of saying not so great). Be it stats, players ins and outs, or any word on the street we can share.

THURSDAY 8PM – NORTH QUEENSLAND v MANLY

Good – Manly’s record v Cowboys and record v Cowboys in Townsville. Manly winning two from two under Kieran Foran. Cowboys winning four in a row. Manly’s away record v Qld sides – they have won nine of their last 12 going back to 2019 and Manly have won eight away games in a row on a Saturday v Qld sides, going back to 2017.

Grape – North Qld’s home record on a Saturday v Syndey teams in general is pretty poor – W2 D1 L5 since 2024.

FRIDAY 6PM – CANBERRA v MELBOURNE

Good – Melbourne’s form in Canberra.  Shawn Blore returns. Canberra returning to the winner’s list last weekend.

Grape – Canberra’s home form v Melbourne – Canberra have lost their last five home games v Melbourne and longer term home form v Melbourne isn’t much better – going back to 2003 their record is W3 L17. Melbourne are on the verge of losing five straight for the first time since 2012 (but they still won the comp). The Storm’s away form on a Friday – Melbourne have lost their last two away games on a Friday, and seven of their last eight.

FRIDAY 8PM – DOLPHINS v PENRITH @ Darwin

Good – Dolphins at home at a neutral ground – Dolphins have lost all four games where they are the home side at a venue that isn’t Redcliffe or Suncorp Stadium. Penrith’s record on a Friday – Penrith’s 78% win strike rate is the NRL’s best since 2020. Ray Stone.

Grape – Dolphins have won one of their last six games v Sydney teams. Dolphins record on a Friday. Liam Martin and Casey McLean are out, but Izack Tago returns. Kurt Donoghue is out for the Dolphins.

SATURDAY 3PM – WAHS v GOLD COAST

Good – Gold Coast’s form in Auckland – Gold Coast have won their last three games in Auckland v Wahs. Gold Coast’s form v Warriors in general – winning seven of the last ten games since 2020. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad and Mitch Barnett could make a return.

Grape – Wahs at home on a Saturday – Wahs have lost their last three at home on a Saturday. Gold Coast’s away form on a Saturday – Gold Coast have won only three of their last 20 away games on a Saturday, with two of those wins being against the Wahs.

SATURDAY 5:30PM – SOUTH SYDNEY v ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA @ Accor Stadium

Good –Matt Dufty returns to the NRL for Souths but they do lose Jye Gray for the swap.. The Rabbitohs home form v Dragons – Souths have won their last ten home games v Dragons with a last loss in 2013. Souths have won their last six home games on a Saturday v Dragons with a last loss in 2002.

Grape – Both teams on a Saturday – Souths have won only three of their last 13 Saturday games. St George Illawarra have won just four of their last 19 Saturday games. Dragons away form – winning only three of their last 22 games away on any day going back to 2023. David Fifita is out for the Rabbitohs. Shane Flanagan is still Dragons coach.

SATURDAY 7:30PM – WESTS TIGERS v BRISBANE @ Campbelltown

Good – Brisbane’s record v Wests Tigers and especially at Campbelltown – at Campbelltown, the Broncos have won eight games in a row v Tigers. Broncos have won 11 of 13 v Wests Tigers on a Saturday. Broncos have won all five away games v Wests Tigers away on a Saturday. Jarome Luai returns for the Tigers and Taylan May could also return.

Grape – Brisbane losing Pat Carrigan to suspension having already lost Adam Reynolds, Ben Hunt and Reece Walsh. Plus they are down to their fifth string hooker.

SUNDAY 2PM – ROOSTERS v NEWCASTLE

Good – Roosters have won all six games at Allianz Stadium on a Sunday v Newcastle going back to 1998. Dylan Brown

Grape – Newcastle have a woeful record v Roosters, since 2012 they have won three of the last 21 games. At Allianz Stadium it’s even worse, since 2002 they have won just one of 13 games there. Newcastle have won only one of their last ten away games on a Sunday.  Dylan Lucas and Tyson Frizell are out for Newcastle.

SUNDAY 4PM – PARRAMATTA v BULLDOGS

Good – Confidence of beating the invincible Penrith last weekend. Parramatta have won five of the last six v Bulldogs on a Sunday.

Grape – Injuries for Parramatta. Bulldogs form at CommBank Stadium – Bulldogs have won one of their last six at CommBank v all teams and six of 23 overall. On a Sunday at CommBank Stadium the Bulldogs record is W3 L8.

Other 2026 NRL Round 7 Preview & Round 6 Review Stuff