Origin is almost here, so we need to enjoy these proper rounds of rugby league before it goes into a two month hibernation. Talking of hibernation, our 2025 NRL Round 11 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview will disappear themselves for months at a time.
Each week this season we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2025 NRL Round 11 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
2025 NRL Round 11 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
2025 NRL Round 11 Tips Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
NEWCASTLE V PARRAMATTA
Round 11 kicks off with the teams who have scored the fewest and second fewest total of points this season. At least Newcastle are third for points conceded, unlike Parramatta who are worst.
Newcastle’s win over Parramatta last season broke a run of six straight losses to the Eels.
Newcastle have won their last three games v Parramatta at home on a Friday.
Newcastle have lost both home games this season v Sydney clubs.
Parramatta have won two of their last 14 Friday games and conceded 20 points or more in every game of that run.
BULLDOGS V ROOSTERS
Roosters have won ten of their last 12 games v Bulldogs.
But the Bulldogs have won the last two games v Roosters at the Olympic Stadium.
Bulldogs are yet to concede a point on a Friday this season.
Roosters have won their last three Friday games this season.
Roosters have only won two of their last seven games at the Olympic Stadium on a Friday.
DOLPHINS V WARRIORS
The four Dolphins-Warriors games so far have all been won by the home side.
Dolphins are W4 L1 at Suncorp Stadium on a Saturday.
The last two seasons where the Warriors won four or more in a row, they made the finals.
The Warriors have lost four in a row at Suncorp Stadium as the away side. They have won their last two Magic Round games there as the home side.
The Warriors have lost six in a row at Suncorp Stadium as the away side on a Saturday. Their only other game on a Saturday at Suncorp Stadium as the away side was a win in 2005.
Since 2020, Warriors have won three of 13 away games v Qld sides.
NORTH QUEENSLAND V MANLY
Manly have won five in a row v North Queensland in Townsville. And four in a row there on a Saturday.
Manly have also won four of their last five on a Saturday at any ground v North Queensland.
Manly have won seven in a row away to Qld teams.
Cowboys are W1 D1 L3 at home on a Saturday v Sydney teams since 2024.
CRONULLA V MELBOURNE
Cronulla have won two of their last nine v Melbourne.
It gets worse on a Saturday with just one win in 11 Saturday games v Melbourne.
But Cronulla have won their last three at Shark Park v Storm.
Since 2023 the Sharks have won two of eight home games at Shark Park on a Saturday.
Since 2020, Melbourne have won 9 of their last 11 away games on a Saturday v Sydney clubs.
BRISBANE V ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA
Broncos have lost six day games in a row. (Day games = starting at 4:05pm or earlier)
Broncos have lost five straight on a Sunday.
Since 2023, the Dragons have won only four of 17 Sunday games. That drops to W1 L9 away from home.
Broncos have won just two of their last nine v Dragons going back to 2018.
Broncos record at Suncorp Stadium v Sydney clubs since 2020 is W17 L25.
The H2H at Suncorp between Broncos and St George Illawarra is 13-10 since 1998 and that changes to Brisbane 3-2 on a Sunday.
Dragons have lost their last four games away to Qld sides on a Sunday. The most recent was a 38-0 loss to the Dolphins.
CANBERRA V GOLD COAST
Canberra have won ten of their last 11 v Gold Coast.
Canberra have beaten the Gold Coast at home for the past three seasons.
Canberra have won their last four at home on a Sunday to Qld sides. Overall it’s a healthy W16 L6.
Gold Coast have lost nine games in a row away on a Sunday in games outside of Qld and won just one of their last 17.
WESTS TIGERS V SOUTH SYDNEY
Souths have won eight of their last ten games v Wests Tigers.
Souths have won six in a row v Wests Tigers on a Sunday.
Wests Tigers have won the only game between these sides at Campbelltown.
Souths have lost four Sunday games in a row.
Wests Tigers have won two of their last 12 games at Campbelltown on a Sunday.
Going back to 2021, Wests Tigers have won only two of 15 games at Campbelltown.
Wests Tigers have lost seven in a row at Campbelltown on a Sunday v Sydney teams, with a last win back in 2013.
2025 NRL Season Stats So Far
Here’s the best of the NRL Team Stats from last weekend.
2025 NRL Season Preview Stuff
We’ve done a lot of stuff ahead of the new NRL season, and here it all is.
READ MORE: THE GURGLER’S 2025 NRL SEASON SPECIALS
NRL 2025 SEASON LADDER PREDICTIONS
WOODEN SPOONERS 2025 NRL HEADLINES
WHY YOUR TEAM CAN’T WIN THE NRL 2025 PREMIERSHIP
