Another weekend of rugby league, and the headline act is the Battle of Brisbane where a Dolphin and the standard all Sydney clash on a Sunday afternoon at 3pm. Talking of battles and standards, our 2025 NRL Round 4 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview is probably going to be as nude as Game of Thrones.
Each week this season we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2025 NRL Round 4 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
READ MORE: Our 2025 Match Centre Home
2025 NRL Round 4 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
2025 NRL Round 4 Tips Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
SOUTHS v PENRITH
Penrith have won 12 of their last 14 games v South Sydney. Penrith lead South Sydney 4-1 on a Thursday H2H. Penrith have lost their last two Thursday games and three of their last six Thursday games v Sydney sides. Penrith have won nine of their last ten at the Olympic Stadium.
ROOSTERS v GOLD COAST
Roosters have won 11 straight v Gold Coast. The Titans last won in 2016. Roosters have also won eight straight home games v Gold Coast. The Titans do lead Roosters 2-1 on Friday H2H and both of those wins were at the Sydney Football Stadium. Gold Coast have lost nine of their last ten away games to Sydney clubs but have won eight of their last tne away games to Sydney clubs on a Friday….
DOLPHINS v BRISBANE
The last team the Dolphins beat was the Broncos in R26 last season. Dolphins have a better record as the away side at Suncorp Stadium (67%) than the home side (47%). Dolphins have lost six of their last seven Friday games. Dolphins have a 50% win record v Qld sides in their short history. Broncos have won ten straight at Suncorp Stadium on a Friday v Qld sides. Overall it is W27 L4 since 1998 as the home side.
ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA v MELBOURNE
St George Illawarra have won seven of their last 11 home games v Melbourne but just one of the last four games at Kogarah. It’s 3-3 overall there. The Dragons have won three of the last five Saturday games v Melbourne. Since 2020 Melbourne are W9 L1 for away games to Sydney sides on a Saturday. The Dragons are 0-2 this season and both games have been at home on a Saturday. But the Dragons have won five straight v non NSW/ACT sides.
NORTH QUEENSLAND v CANBERRA
Cowboys have won six straight v Canberra and four in a row at home. North Queensland have met 24 times in Townsville, and all 24 games have been played on a Saturday. Cowboys have won just four of their last 11 home games on a Saturday. Canberra have won just five of their last 16 away games.
CRONULLA v BULLDOGS
Cronulla have won five in a row at Shark Park v Bulldogs, and last lost in 2011. It’s 4-1 in the H2H at Sharks Park on a Saturday v Bulldogs to Cronulla too. Cronulla are 2/2 on a Saturday this season. Bulldogs have won seven of their last nine Saturday games.
MANLY v PARRAMATTA
Manly have won five of their last six at Brookvale v Parramatta. Manly have won seven of their last eight at home on a Sunday. Parramatta have won two of their last 13 away games. And five straight losses away on a Sunday.
WESTS TIGERS v WAHS
Warriors have won seven straight v Wests Tigers and four away games straight. Wests Tigers have won three straight at home to Warriors on a Sunday. Wests Tigers have lost nine of their last 11 at Campbelltown on a Sunday. It’s two of 14 games at Campbelltown on any day. Warriors have won four of their last 24 away games to Sydney clubs on a Sunday.
2025 NRL Season Stats So Far
Here’s the best of the NRL Team Stats from last weekend.
2025 NRL Round 4 Bonus Stats 1
We did this for our Round 3 Stats and Results summary, but well worth dead-horse flogging here again.
HOW DO TEAMS END UP THAT WIN/LOSE ALL THEIR FIRST THREE GAMES?
Wondering if you can book Grand Final tickets after starting the season 3 and 0? And at the other end, is your season over if you lose the first three games?
Here to answer that and more are the following stats.
- 22 teams have won all three games to start the season since 2013
- The average ladder position at the end of the season is 5.0.
- 3 have gone on to win the competition
- 8 teams have made the top four
- 8 teams have made the top eight
- 2 teams have missed the finals
- 1 has finished last.
24 teams have lost all three games to start the season since 2013
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- The average ladder position at the end of the season is 12.3
- One team has actually won the competition
- One team has made the top four
- Two teams made the top eight
- 14 teams have missed the finals
- 6 have finished last.
In summary, you may get lucky, but in general if your team loses the first three games you can book non rugby league holidays in September. And a 3-0 start will usually end up in finals action.
2025 NRL Round 4 Bonus Stats 2
This website has complained endlessly about the bias of Sunday afternoon games being given to Sydney teams to make Channel Nein (in Sydney) happy.
So why not see who out of all the Sydney teams playing Sydney teams on a Sunday have the best win %.
2025 NRL Round 3 Review
Here’s the best of our wrap ups of Round 3.
NRL ROUND 3 STATS AND RESULTS
NRL ROUND 3 TEAM OF THE WEEK
NRL ONE MINUTE MATCH REPORT – DOLPHINS v WESTS TIGERS
2025 NRL Season Preview Stuff
We’ve done a lot of stuff ahead of the new NRL season, and here it all is.
READ MORE: THE GURGLER’S 2025 NRL SEASON SPECIALS
NRL 2025 SEASON LADDER PREDICTIONS
WOODEN SPOONERS 2025 NRL HEADLINES
WHY YOUR TEAM CAN’T WIN THE NRL 2025 PREMIERSHIP
2024 NRL Season Stats Summary
Want a comprehensive catch up on all the stats from the 2024 season? Follow the links below.
Or check out the quick summary of NRL 2024 Stats.
