Forgot that the NRL was on after all the excitement of the State of Origin? Or you don’t care because it is just rubbish Origin affected rubbish rounds for the next two months. But talking of caring, our 2026 NRL Round 14 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview is good for the mind, body and soul.
Each week this season we will offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, plus throw in our weekly predictions like chicken salt on hot chips and you have something that seagulls and humans will fight over.
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2026 NRL Round 14 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
SOUTH SYDNEY by 6
MELBOURNE by 8
ROOSTERS by 8
DOLPHINS by 12
BRISBANE by 6
PENRITH by 16
CRONULLA by 12
PARRAMATTA by 2
2026 NRL Round 14 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games? Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
2026 NRL Round 14 Tips – Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for your convenience and arguments. We’ve added a plus or minus with the team in question to hint whether it’s a good or bad stat too, with the bolded stats our favourite.
THU 7:50PM – MANLY v SOUTH SYDNEY
MAN+ > Manly are 3/3 at Brookvale under Kieran Foran.
MAN+ > Manly are 2/2 on a Thursday under Kieran Foran, but did lose seven in a row on a Thursday before that.
MAN- > Manly have lost their last three games at Brookvale on a Thursday and are 3/12 overall.
MAN? > Manly’s record v Souths at Brookvale is patchy – the last ten matches are shared with five wins each.
SOU+ > Souths have won the only game at Brookvale on a Thursday between the sides.
SOU+ > Souths won their two Thursday games last season, including beating Penrith, both were at home.
SOU- > South Sydney’s record away on a Thursday is two wins from their last eight matches.
SOU- > Souths have won just three of their last 5 away games v Sydney clubs going back to 2024.
FRI 6PM – MELBOURNE v NEWCASTLE
MEL+ > Going back to 2016, Melbourne have won 13 of the last 15 games v Newcastle.
MEL+ > Melbourne are also W11 L2 v Newcastle at AAMI Park, including five wins in a row.
MEL+ > Melbourne have won all four games v Newcastle on a Friday. Three have been at AAMI Park and one the old Olympic Park.
MEL+ > Excluding the loss earlier this season, the Storm have won 21/24 home games on a Friday between 2020 and 2025.
MEL- > Melbourne have lost all five Friday games this season, with just one of those games at home.
NEW+ > Newcastle have won four in a row heading into this game, they last did that in May 2024. The last time they won five in a row was August/September 2023.
NEW- > Newcastle have lost six Friday games in a row.
NEW- > Since 1998, Newcastle have won just four of 22 clashes on a Friday away from home v non-Sydney clubs.
FRI 8PM – CANBERRA v ROOSTERS
CAN+ > Canberra have won four of their last five matches v Roosters, only one of those wins was in Canberra.
CAN+ > Canberra have won three in a row at home on a Friday.
CAN+ > Canberra have won eight games straight on a Friday v Sydney clubs, just one of those eight wins were in Canberra.
ROO+ > Roosters have won three of the last four games v Raiders in Canberra.
ROO+ > The away side has won eight of the ten fixtures between these teams since 2020.
ROO- > Roosters were W3 L4 away on a Friday last season.
ROO- > Roosters have lost both of their away games this season to non-Sydney clubs.
??? > These teams have only met once on a Friday – in 2003 where the Roosters won 20-16.
SAT 5:30PM – NORTH QUEENSLAND v DOLPHINS
NQL+ > North Queensland have won their only Saturday home game this season. It ended a run of four straight losses at home on a Saturday that ended 2025.
NQL+ > Cowboys are W4 L2 at home this season.
NQL- > North Queensland have won only three of their last nine games at home to Queensland teams.
NQL- > North Queensland have won only one of their last six games at home to Queensland teams on a Saturday.
DOL+ > Dolphins are 3/3 v Cowboys in Townsville.
DOL+ > Dolphins are 6/6 for away games v Queensland teams that aren’t the Broncos.
DOL+ > The away side (either team) has won five of the six games so far.
DOL+ > Dolphins are W4 L3 away on a Friday when not at Suncorp Stadium.
DOL- > Dolphins are W14 L20 away since 2023 with games not at Suncorp Stadium. That has improved to W7 L6 since 2025.
SAT 7:30PM – BRISBANE v GOLD COAST
BRI+ > Brisbane have won the last three v Gold Coast. They had lost three in a row before that.
BRI+ > Only ten games between these sides have played on a Saturday and Broncos lead the H2H by 7-3. It’s 1-1 at Suncorp Stadium on a Saturday.
BRI+ > Broncos won all their Saturday home games last season (4).
BRI+ > Brisbane won all six games v Qld sides in 2025, it’s W2 L1 this season so far.
BRI- > Brisbane are W2 L4 at home this season. Only the Gold Coast (1) and Dragons (0) have scored fewer wins at home this season.
GCT- > Gold Coast are W1 L6 away from home this season.
GCT- > Gold Coast have lost five in a row away to Queensland sides.
GCT- > Gold Coast are W1 L10 from their last 11 away to Queensland sides on a Saturday.
GCT- > Gold Coast are W1 L11 from their last 12 away on a Saturday v any side.
SUN 2PM – WESTS TIGERS v PENRITH @ CommBank Stadium
WTI+ > Wests Tigers have won two of their last three at CommBank Stadium on a Sunday.
WTI+ > Wests Tigers are 2/2 at CommBank Stadium this season.
PEN+ > Penrith have won the last three games v Wests Tigers.
PEN+ > Penrith have won all four matches v Tigers at CommBank Stadium.
PEN+ > Penrith have won seven games ion a row v Tigers on a Sunday.
PEN+ > Penrith have won 15 of their last 16 Sunday games.
PEN+ > Penrith have won 20 games in a row on a Sunday v Sydney teams.
PEN+ > Penrith have won 7 games in a row on a Sunday v Sydney teams as the away side, with a last loss in 2018.
PEN+ > Penrith have won 10 of their last 11 games at CommBank Stadium.
PEN+ > Penrith have never lost a Sunday game at CommBank Stadium.
SUN 4PM – CRONULLA v ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA
CRO+ > St George Illawarra won the most recent last year, but prior to that Cronulla had won ten in a row v Dragons.
CRO+ > Cronulla have won seven in a row at home v Dragons.
CRO+ > Cronulla are W7 L3 at home on a Sunday to the Dragons.
CRO+ > Cronulla have won eight of their past ten games on a Sunday v Dragons.
CRO+ > Cronulla have won five in a row on a Sunday included all three games this season.
STI+ > Dragons broke their drought last weekend v Brisbane. Prior to that, they had lost 12 in a away from home.
MON 4PM – BULLDOGS v PARRAMATTA @ Olympic Stadium
BUL+ > Bulldogs lead the H2H v Parramatta at the Olympic Stadium on a Monday by 3-1.
BUL+ > Bulldogs have won 23/43 Monday games since 1998. Parramatta have won 25 of 54.
BUL- > Bulldogs have lost seven away games in a row v Sydney clubs.
PAR- > Parramatta have won just one of their last five v Sydney clubs on a Monday.
PAR- > Parramatta have lost seven in a row away to Sydney clubs, and won two of their last 15.
??? – If Parramatta win this weekend v Bulldogs, the H2H between the sides at the Olympic Stadium will be 19-19.
2025 Results Analysis – Comparing Origin Periods
In case there wasn’t enough stats above, here are some specific stats relating to each team’s performances last season for before, during and after the Origin series.
PREVIEW & REVIEW GEAR
NRL ROUND 13 TEAM OF THE WEEK
NRL ROUND 13 STATS AND ONE MINUTE MATCH REPORTS
2026 Season Stats so far……up to Round 13
Your one-stop shop for stats and stuff from 2026 so far.
