Five rounds to go of the regular season and things are looking shaky for Brisbane teams to play finals in 2024 after the results from last weekend. One looking much worse than the other. Talking of Brisbane, our 2024 NRL Round 23 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview has all the Olympic second week tips and stats you need to get your tipping finals sorted.
Each week we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2024 NRL Round 23 Matches
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
Thu 7:50 pm – South Sydney v Melbourne
Fri 6:00 pm – Gold Coast v Cronulla
Fri 8:00 pm – Parramatta v Penrith
Sat 3:00 pm – Canberra v Manly Warringah
Sat 5:30 pm – North Queensland v Brisbane
Sat 7:35 pm – St George Illawarra v Bulldogs
Sun 2:00 pm – Dolphins v Warriors
Sun 4:05 pm – Newcastle v Wests Tigers
2024 NRL Round 23 Tips
Melbourne by 14
Gold Coast by 4
Penrith by 8
Canberra by 2
North Queensland by 10
Dragons by 6
Dolphins by 10
Newcastle by 6
SEASON PROGRESS: 103/164 (63%)
READ MORE: Our 2024 Match Centre Home
Want help with your NRL Tips?
2024 NRL Round 23 Tips Weekly H2H Stats
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
Melbourne v Souths is the NRL’s most lop sided H2H si9nce 1998 not involving the Dolphins, with the Storm currently sitting at 83%. The next worst is the Roosters over the Tigers at 77%.
Souths have never beaten Melbourne on a Thursday in four attempts.
Souths record v Melbourne doesn’t stink as much at the Olympic Stadium, it’s three wins from the last seven games there. And they won two games ago v Melbourne at the venue.
Since 2022 Souths have won just three of their last 12 on a Thursday.
Melbourne have won seven straight games on a Thursday in general.
Gold Coast are one of six sides to have a last six record of W4 L1 B1. Three of those sides are in the top three.
Gold Coast have won five of their last six and sit in a season-high ladder position of 11th.
Gold Coast have lost four in a row at home to Cronulla. They have also lost four in a row at home on a Friday.
Gold Coast and Cronulla have never met on the Gold Coast on a Friday.
Cronulla have won their last four games kicking off at 6pm on a Friday.
Cronulla have won six of their last eight games on a Friday in Qld v Qld sides.
Parramatta are looking to win two games in a row since winning the last game in 2023 and first game this season.
Parramatta have won their last three games at CommBank Stadium v Penrith.
Parramatta have lost their last four home games on a Friday. But do lead the H2H v Penrith at home on a Friday by 4-3.
Penrith’s record for their last six away games on a Friday is W3 L3.
Penrith have scored more than 40 points on their last three away games v Sydney teams.
Canberra have won just three of their last 13 at home to Manly.
Manly have won just two of nine games away this season.
Manly have won just three of their last 12 away games on a Saturday going back to 2022.
Brisbane are currently last in the Winter Cup with a win rate of 13% since June. For the record Melbourne are winning from Penrith, North Qld and the Roosters. Brisbane’s average of 17 points scored since June is also the worst.
Cowboys have won five of their last six home games on a Saturday v Brisbane, but not last year’s match.
Cowboys have won one of their last four games at home v Qld sides.
Cowboys have won one of the six home games on a Saturday in August since 2020.
Dragons have won their last two games at Kogarah v Bulldogs. It’s W4 L3 overall since 1998.
Dragons have won their last three at Kogarah v Sydney teams.
Dragons have won five games in a row on a Saturday.
Bulldogs have won two of their last 14 games away, but three of their last five away games on a Saturday.
Bulldogs have won five of their last seven v Sydney teams.
Dolphins are one of two sides to not win a day game this season (a game starting at 4pm or earlier). The other is the Broncos.
All three of the Dolphins v Warriors games have been won by the home side.
Dolphins have lost their last three home games at Suncorp Stadium on a Sunday.
Dolphins have won just one of their last eight on a Sunday anywhere.
Warriors record v Qld sides this season is W3 L2.
Warriors have won three of their last 16 away games on a Sunday.
Newcastle have won their last five games v Tigers.
It’s three in a row on a Sunday for the Knights too, with the last two wins seeing them score 14 points on both occasions.
Newcastle have won three of their games v Sydney teams this season.
Prior to Penrith beating them at home last time, Newcastle had 10 Sunday home games in a row.
Wests Tigers have won just two of their last 24 games on a Sunday.
Wests Tigers have lost ten in a row away on a Sunday.
2024 NRL Round 23 Helpful Betting Stuff
Here’s a few betting things to enhance your tipping.
BETTING SUMMARY FOR THIS WEEKEND
FAVOURITES SUMMARY
BETTING RECORD AND RESULT BY TEAM
2024 NRL Round 23 Stats Extra
Here are some extra bits and pieces from the weekly stats.
Lop Sided Fixtures
2024 Winter Cup
2024 NRL Season Stats Summary
