2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 Match Centre, Preview & Stats

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So we’ve reached the sharper end of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, and what a sensational Round of 32 it was. But there’s so much further to go, winning more knockout games to win the trophy or head home in semi-disgrace. We’re up to the Round of 16 which previously was the first knockout round, but who’d argue with more football. Never FIFA. Our 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 Match Centre has all the games in one convenient place, for you to read and us to compile. It has some stats, visual stats, our own in-house ratings, using an alternative AI model to predict winners, and splashed of AI Greg Norman trying to steal the show.

It’s all here, and all in the same place, all 8 games. Enjoy our 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 Match Centre.

Note: we are using AI to invent a prediction system using mostly football, but some nonsense footballing stats and figures. To save us typing it 16 times, here are the categories we got AI to assess who could be the winner of all of our games.

STATS SO FAR……

Before diving into previews, here’s the best of the stats from the Group Stage and Round of 16. Note: stats are per game and updated as team complete Round of 32 games.

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2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 Stats

 

 

AI MATCH PREDICTION

Since AI is all the rage, and a management buzzword of the highest order, we have decided to dip a few toes into AI pond. We asked AI to come up with a winner and score based on the following:

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2026 FIFA World Cup form so far, last four years on international matches, overall FIFA World Cup history, overall FIFA World Cup knockout stage history, value of the playing squad, relative strength of each team’s mascot, military success of country over the past 100 years, overall non-football sporting success of country over the past 100 years, popularity and sales of each teams playing shirt, strength of fan noise, beer consumption.

 

2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 Match Previews

Times are AEST, because that’s where we are. Refer to better websites in your country for more.

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Sun 5 Jul 3AM – Canada vs Morocco

STATS SUMMARY

2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 - Canada vs Morocco

RATINGS

The Gurgler’s in-house Ratings system chooses the winner. Using H2H history, World Cup performance history, World Cup qualifying, the last four years of international games, performance against the confederation, and current effort at this World Cup.

Canada 30.7% Morocco 69.3%

 

RATINGS: The Ratings say that Morocco are interestingly much better than Canada.

 

BARELY INTERESTING STATS

  • Morocco are undefeated against Canada, winning the only World Cup game in 2022 by 2-1. It was the only game for Canada v African side at a World Cup.
  • Morocco are 2/2 v CONCACAF nations at the World Cup, one being the win above, the other v Haiti at this World Cup.
  • Canada have had the third fewest shots against them this World Cup.
  • Morocco and Canada are first and second for fouls against them.

 

GURGLER’S MATCH PREDICTION

Before we hit AI up for their thought, or create some pathetic stunt using an animal to select a winner (not below that just don’t have an appropriate animal), here’s an old-fashioned tip from a human

Canada 0 Morocco 1

 

AI GREG’S MATCH PIC-REDICTION

We harnessed or wasted (delete appropriate) the power of AI to ask them to picture how an AI Greg Norman would visualise the result of this Round of 16 clash.

 

AI MATCH PREDICTION

As per our summary at the top we asked AI for a prediction using mostly football related comparisons, but some additional but no less important factors. And here’s the results below…..

AI MATCH RESULT AND WHY

Canada 0 Morocco 2

Factor Winner
Current World Cup form Morocco
Last 4 years Morocco
World Cup history Morocco
Knockout history Morocco
Squad value Morocco
Mascot fight Morocco
Military history Canada
Other sports Canada
Shirt sales Draw
Fan noise Morocco
Beer consumption Canada

 

Likely scorers: Morocco score once in each half, control possession, and Canada create chances but struggle to convert. If the game becomes open, 2–1 Morocco would be my second-most likely scoreline.

 




 

Sun 5 Jul 7AM – Paraguay vs France

STATS SUMMARY

2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 - France vs Paraguay

RATINGS

The Gurgler’s in-house Ratings system chooses the winner. Using H2H history, World Cup performance history, World Cup qualifying, the last four years of international games, performance against the confederation, and current effort at this World Cup.

Paraguay 33.5% France 66.5%

 

RATINGS: Says France are twice as good as Paraguay.

 

BARELY INTERESTING STATS

  • Paraguay have made the fewest shots per game of the teams qualified for Round 16 so far (10).
  • France have the most Shots on Target per game and best Shots on Target % of the team remaining in the Round of 16.
  • France are undefeated in five games v Paraguay, with two of the three wins coming in World Cups in 1958 and 1998.
  • France are unbeaten in their last nine games v South American teams – W8 D1. The one draw was the eventual loss to Argentina in the 2022 World Cup final.
  • Paraguay have won three of 14 games v European nations since the 1986 World Cup and lost 50%.

 

GURGLER’S MATCH PREDICTION

Before we hit AI up for their thought, or create some pathetic stunt using an animal to select a winner (not below that just don’t have an appropriate animal), here’s an old-fashioned tip from a human

Paraguay 0 France 3

 

AI GREG’S MATCH PIC-REDICTION

We harnessed or wasted (delete appropriate) the power of AI to ask them to picture how an AI Greg Norman would visualise the result of this Round of 16 clash.

 

AI MATCH PREDICTION

As per our summary at the top we asked AI for a prediction using mostly football related comparisons, but some additional but no less important factors. And here’s the results below…..

AI MATCH RESULT AND WHY

Paraguay 0 France 3

Factor Winner
2026 World Cup form France
Last 4 years France
World Cup history France
Knockout history France
Squad value France
Mascot battle Paraguay
Military success France
Non-football sports France
Shirt sales France
Fan noise France
Beer consumption Draw

 

Most likely scenario:

  • France dominate possession.
  • Paraguay defend deeply.
  • MbappĂ© or another French forward breaks through before halftime.
  • Paraguay remain competitive but struggle to create enough chances.

 




 

Mon 6 Jul 6AM – Brazil  vs Norway

STATS SUMMARY

2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 - Brasil v Norway

RATINGS

The Gurgler’s in-house Ratings system chooses the winner. Using H2H history, World Cup performance history, World Cup qualifying, the last four years of international games, performance against the confederation, and current effort at this World Cup.

Brazil 52.7% Norway 47.3%

 

RATINGS: Brazil, just. It almost falls into the 5% tolerance for a draw.

 

BARELY INTERESTING STATS

  • Norway have conceded the most shots against per game this World Cup (20) of all the teams left in Round of 16.
  • Brazil have never beaten Norway in four attempts.
  • Norway have won the only World Cup game between the sides in 1998.
  • Brail haven’t lost to European nation in their last four games at the World Cup – W3 D1.
  • Brazil have won only one of their last five games W1 D1 L3 that were the fifth game of the World Cup for Brazil.

 

GURGLER’S MATCH PREDICTION

Before we hit AI up for their thought, or create some pathetic stunt using an animal to select a winner (not below that just don’t have an appropriate animal), here’s an old-fashioned tip from a human

Brazil 1 Norway 2

 

AI GREG’S MATCH PIC-REDICTION

We harnessed or wasted (delete appropriate) the power of AI to ask them to picture how an AI Greg Norman would visualise the result of this Round of 16 clash.

 

AI MATCH PREDICTION

As per our summary at the top we asked AI for a prediction using mostly football related comparisons, but some additional but no less important factors. And here’s the results below…..

AI MATCH RESULT AND WHY

Brazil 2 Norway 1

Factor Winner
2026 World Cup form Brazil
Last 4 years Brazil
World Cup history Brazil
Knockout history Brazil
Squad value Brazil
Mascot battle Draw
Military success Draw
Other sporting success Norway
Shirt sales Brazil
Fan noise Brazil
Beer consumption Brazil

 

Final predicted score

Brazil 2–1 Norway

Most likely script:

  • Haaland scores.
  • Brazil have more possession and more chances.
  • Brazil’s superior depth eventually tells.
  • Late winner from one of VinĂ­cius JĂşnior, Rodrygo or Martinelli.

 

 




 

Mon 6 Jul 10AM – Mexico  vs England

STATS SUMMARY

2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 - Mexico vs England

RATINGS

The Gurgler’s in-house Ratings system chooses the winner. Using H2H history, World Cup performance history, World Cup qualifying, the last four years of international games, performance against the confederation, and current effort at this World Cup.

Mexico 41.0% England 59.0%

 

RATINGS: England should ease past Mexico.

 

BARELY INTERESTING STATS

  • Mexico have yet to concede a goal at this 2026 World Cup.
  • Mexico have the fourth lowest shots on target against this World Cup with two per game. All the bottom five come from countries that speak Spanish.
  • England have received the most fouls per game so far this World Cup.
  • England have won four in a row v Mexico and won the only World Cup clash in 1966. So if they win…..
  • England are undefeated in their last seven games v CONCACAF nations at the World Cup – W4 D3. The only other game was a loss to the USA in 1950.
  • Mexico have won 50% of their 10 games at World Cup v European nations since 2002, with three losses and two draws.

 

MATCH PREDICTION

Before we hit AI up for their thought, or create some pathetic stunt using an animal to select a winner (not below that just don’t have an appropriate animal), here’s an old-fashioned tip from a human

GURGLER’s OWN PREDICTION

Mexico 2 England 1

AI GREG’S MATCH PIC-REDICTION

We harnessed or wasted (delete appropriate) the power of AI to ask them to picture how an AI Greg Norman would visualise the result of this Round of 16 clash.

AI MATCH PREDICTION

Since AI is all the rage, and a management buzzword of the highest order, we have decided to dip a few toes into AI pond.

We asked AI to come up with a winner and score based on the following:

AI MATCH RESULT AND WHY

Mexico 1 England 2

Category Edge
2026 World Cup form so far Mexico – won Group A and then beat Ecuador 2–0, with four tournament wins and no goals conceded.
Last four years of international matches England – higher FIFA ranking and stronger results over the cycle.
Overall FIFA World Cup history England – World Cup winners in 1966.
Overall World Cup knockout-stage history England
Value of playing squad England
Relative strength of mascot England – Three Lions beat an Eagle-and-Snake emblem in a mascot fight.
Military success over past 100 years England/UK
Overall non-football sporting success over past 100 years England/UK
Coach tenure (longer better) Slight England
Popularity and sales of playing shirt England
Strength of fan noise Mexico – playing in Mexico City with enormous home support.
Beer consumption England

 

Expected match flow

  • Mexico score first through home-driven momentum.
  • England gradually take control of possession.
  • England equalize before halftime.
  • England score a decisive second-half winner.

 




Tue 7 Jul 7AM – Portugal vs Spain

STATS SUMMARY

2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 - Spain vs Portugal

 

RATINGS

The Gurgler’s in-house Ratings system chooses the winner. Using H2H history, World Cup performance history, World Cup qualifying, the last four years of international games, performance against the confederation, and current effort at this World Cup.

Spain 54.2% Portugal 45.8%

 

RATINGS: Spain to sneak a win by a goal.

BARELY INTERESTING STATS

  • Spain are unbeaten in two World Cup games v Portugal – W1 D1.
  • 6 of the last 7 games between these sides have ended in a draw.
  • 11 of the last 16 games between these sides have ended in a draw.
  • Before their recent win over Austria. the previous three games Spain have played v European nations have also ended in a draw, before their recent win over Austria.

MATCH PREDICTION

Before we hit AI up for their thought, or create some pathetic stunt using an animal to select a winner (not below that just don’t have an appropriate animal), here’s an old-fashioned tip from a human

PREDICTION

Portugal 1 Spain 1 – (Spain win on Penalties)

AI GREG’S MATCH PIC-REDICTION

We harnessed or wasted (delete appropriate) the power of AI to ask them to picture how an AI Greg Norman would visualise the result of this Round of 32 clash.

AI MATCH PREDICTION

Since AI is all the rage, and a management buzzword of the highest order, we have decided to dip a few toes into AI pond.

We asked AI to come up with a winner and score based on the following:

AI MATCH RESULT AND WHY

Portugal 1 Spain 2

Factor Edge
2026 World Cup form so far Spain (won Group H, 5-0 goal difference, then beat Austria 3-0)
Last four years of international results Spain slight edge (generally higher FIFA ranking and stronger tournament performances)
Overall World Cup history Spain slight edge (1 title, frequent deep runs)
World Cup knockout history Fairly even
Playing-squad value Spain slight edge due to younger elite talent
Mascot strength Draw (both would probably be represented by powerful Iberian animals)
Military success last 100 years Portugal slight edge (lower instability, NATO participation), but essentially irrelevant
Non-football sporting success Spain slight edge (Olympics, cycling, tennis, basketball)
Shirt popularity/sales Spain slight edge globally
Fan noise Draw
Beer consumption Portugal marginal edge

Likely scorers style

  • Spain to dominate possession and chances.
  • Portugal dangerous on counters and set pieces.
  • Tight match until late in the second half.

 




 

Tue 7 Jul 10AM – United States  vs Belgium

STATS SUMMARY

2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 - United States v Belgium

RATINGS

The Gurgler’s in-house Ratings system chooses the winner. Using H2H history, World Cup performance history, World Cup qualifying, the last four years of international games, performance against the confederation, and current effort at this World Cup.

United States 43.5% Belgium 56.5%

 

RATINGS: Belgium but not with much certainty.

 

BARELY INTERESTING STATS

  • Belgium have had the most Shots per game of all the teams in the Round of 16 with 31. England are second with 25.
  • Belgium have the second lowest Shots on Target % of all the teams that have qualified for the Round of 16 with 27%, well behind stat leader France at 47%.
  • Belgium have an outstanding record v United States. Not only did they win in March 2026 by 5-2, their record over the eight games in W7 L1, with the only loss from the first World Cup in 1930. Belgium won the other World Cup clash in 2014.
  • United States have a very bad record v European nations at the World Cup. They did beat Bosnia to get here, so a win is a win, but before that it was winless in 13 games with seven losses and 6 draws.

 

MATCH PREDICTION

Before we hit AI up for their thought, or create some pathetic stunt using an animal to select a winner (not below that just don’t have an appropriate animal), here’s an old-fashioned tip from a human

GURGLER’s OWN PREDICTION

United States 2 Belgium 1

AI GREG’S MATCH PIC-REDICTION

We harnessed or wasted (delete appropriate) the power of AI to ask them to picture how an AI Greg Norman would visualise the result of this Round of 16 clash.

AI MATCH PREDICTION

Since AI is all the rage, and a management buzzword of the highest order, we have decided to dip a few toes into AI pond.

We asked AI to come up with a winner and score based on the following:

AI MATCH RESULT AND WHY

United States 1 Belgium 2

Category Edge
2026 World Cup form so far Belgium (unbeaten, 2W-2D)
Last four years of international matches Belgium
Overall World Cup history Belgium
World Cup knockout history Belgium
Value of playing squad Belgium
Relative strength of mascot USA (an eagle beats a red devil)
Military success over last 100 years USA
Non-football sporting success over last 100 years USA
Coach tenure (longer better) Slight USA
Shirt popularity and sales USA
Fan noise USA (home tournament advantage)
Beer consumption Belgium

AI Prediction

United States 1–2 Belgium

Likely scenario:

  • USA start strongly with crowd support.
  • Belgium’s superior depth and experience tell in the second half.
  • Match is level at halftime before Belgium score a late winner.

 

 




Wed 8 Jul 2AM – Argentina vs Egypt

STATS SUMMARY

2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 - Argentina v Egpyt

RATINGS

The Gurgler’s in-house Ratings system chooses the winner. Using H2H history, World Cup performance history, World Cup qualifying, the last four years of international games, performance against the confederation, and current effort at this World Cup.

Argentina 65.9% Egypt 34.1%

 

Ratings hand a comfortable win to Argentina.

BARELY INTERESTING STATS

  • Argentina have won eight games out of their last nine at the World Cup, the only non win was the draw to Cape Verde. Five of those seven wins were against Nigeria.
  • Egypt have lost their only game at a World Cup to South American teams.

MATCH PREDICTION

Before we hit AI up for their thought, or create some pathetic stunt using an animal to select a winner (not below that just don’t have an appropriate animal), here’s an old-fashioned tip from a human

PREDICTION

Argentina 3 Egypt 0

AI GREG’S MATCH PIC-REDICTION

We harnessed or wasted (delete appropriate) the power of AI to ask them to picture how an AI Greg Norman would visualise the result of this Round of 32 clash.

AI MATCH PREDICTION

Since AI is all the rage, and a management buzzword of the highest order, we have decided to dip a few toes into AI pond.

We asked AI to come up with a winner and score based on the following:

AI MATCH RESULT AND WHY

Argentina 2-0 Egypt

Argentina’s superior recent form, vastly stronger World Cup pedigree, greater squad depth, and long record in knockout football outweigh Egypt’s impressive 2026 run and underdog momentum.

Category Argentina 🇦🇷 Egypt 🇪🇬 Edge
2026 World Cup Record 4 wins, 0 losses (Algeria, Austria, Jordan, Cape Verde) [espn.com], [sports.yahoo.com] 1 win, 2 draws, 1 knockout win on penalties (Australia) [kickd.net], [sports.yahoo.com] Argentina
Goals Scored (2026 WC) 11 [espn.com], [sports.yahoo.com] 6+ (including knockout round) [kickd.net], [sports.yahoo.com] Argentina
Goals Conceded (2026 WC) 3 [espn.com], [sports.yahoo.com] 4+ [kickd.net], [sports.yahoo.com] Argentina
FIFA World Cup Titles 3 (1978, 1986, 2022) 0 Argentina
World Cup Final Appearances 6 0 Argentina
World Cup Knockout Experience Extensive Very limited Argentina
Recent International Form (last 4 years) Elite global contender Strong African contender Argentina
Squad Market Value Very high Moderate Argentina
Star Power Messi-led world champions core Salah-led squad Argentina
Squad Depth Strong in all positions Relies more on key players Argentina
Non-Football Sporting Success (100 yrs) Strong Olympic, rugby, hockey, basketball record Strong Olympic history Argentina
Global Fanbase Massive worldwide following Large regional following Argentina
Merchandise/Jersey Sales Among world’s best-selling national teams Significantly lower Argentina
Mascot / Symbol Strength (fun factor) Gaucho/Puma imagery Pharaoh symbolism Egypt
Military Success (100 yrs) Mixed Mixed, stronger historical regional role Egypt
Historical Prestige Score Extremely high Moderate Argentina

 




Wed 8 Jul 6AM – Switzerland vs Colombia

STATS SUMMARY

2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 - Colombia v Swiss

RATINGS

The Gurgler’s in-house Ratings system chooses the winner. Using H2H history, World Cup performance history, World Cup qualifying, the last four years of international games, performance against the confederation, and current effort at this World Cup.

Colombia 54.2% Switzerland 45.8%

 

RATINGS: Colombia by one goal.

BARELY INTERESTING STATS

  • Colombia have drawn their last two games at a World Cup v European nations. And won the two games in a row before that. Prior to that they won just one of eight matches v European teams.
  • The Swiss have won just one of nine World Cup games v South American nations, with the results (oldest first) DLLLLWLDL.
  • Colombia have won the only World Cup between these sides.

MATCH PREDICTION

Before we hit AI up for their thought, or create some pathetic stunt using an animal to select a winner (not below that just don’t have an appropriate animal), here’s an old-fashioned tip from a human

PREDICTION

Switzerland 0 Colombia 1

 

AI GREG’S MATCH PIC-REDICTION

We harnessed or wasted (delete appropriate) the power of AI to ask them to picture how an AI Greg Norman would visualise the result of this Round of 32 clash.

AI MATCH PREDICTION

Since AI is all the rage, and a management buzzword of the highest order, we have decided to dip a few toes into AI pond.

We asked AI to come up with a winner and score based on the following:

AI MATCH RESULT AND WHY

Colombia 2–1 Switzerland

Why?

  • Colombia’s attacking numbers against Ghana were extremely impressive, creating far more chances than the scoreline suggested.
  • Switzerland have been efficient and unbeaten but have not faced an attack of Colombia’s quality yet.
  • Colombia’s recent knockout performances and slightly higher-end attacking talent give them the edge in a match that is otherwise very balanced.
Category Colombia 🇨🇴 Switzerland 🇨🇭 Edge
2026 World Cup Form Won Group F; defeated Ghana 1-0 in Round of 32; strong underlying stats vs Ghana (20 shots, 8 on target) Won Group B; beat Algeria 2-0 in Round of 32; unbeaten so far Slight Colombia
Last 4 Years International Form Consistently among South America’s strongest teams Consistently strong European side Even
World Cup History Best finish: Quarterfinals (2014) Best finish: Quarterfinals (1954) Even
World Cup Knockout History More recent knockout success Regular qualifier but limited deep runs Slight Colombia
Squad Market Value Higher overall market value and attacking talent Solid but less star power Colombia
Key Players Luis DĂ­az, James RodrĂ­guez, Jhon Arias Breel Embolo, Dan Ndoye Colombia
Defensive Organization Strong Strong Even
Non-Football Sporting Success (100 yrs) Strong cycling, athletics, weightlifting Strong Olympic and winter sports tradition Switzerland
Popularity & Shirt Sales Large Latin American/global following Smaller global fanbase Colombia
Military Success (100 yrs) Limited relevance Switzerland’s neutrality limits comparison Even
Mascot Strength (fun factor) Andean Condor Swiss Saint Bernard / Alpine imagery Colombia (slig

 




 

 

 

 

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Theydon Boishttps://www.thegurgler.com
Born and raised on the banks of Yebri Creek, Theydon Bois has always been obsessed by sport. A stellar career of Underage B sides, RSL Social Golf, C Grade Warehouse and D Grade Indoor Cricket didn’t showcase much talent, but provided a window into the love for any game, any time. Theydon follows as much as he can and will provide opinion, ideas, and best tips and bets for most sports*. A particular interest in English Football sees Theydon Bois up every Saturday night until 2am with two laptops, smartphones, IPad and a radio feed of Soccer Saturday. A lifelong fan of underperforming, mediocre, disappointing teams will not sway his enthusiasm for sport. *Rugby Union not included.

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