Premier League Predictions Week 11 and Preview

It may be one game short due to Coronavirus wiping out Friday’s clash, but our Premier League Predictions Week 11 and Preview is still packed full of data.

As ever our preview ambles through all the available Premier League fixtures, with a bunch of visuals, stats and figures for some barely interesting reading.

And if that isn’t enough, we throw in our 2020-21 Premier League Week 10 Predictions for each game.

Come for the stats, stay for the Premier League Predictions Week 11.

Premier League Predictions Week 11 – Season Results Summary

Tables are all good and well, but what about a much more colourful presentation of the results for the 20-21 Premier League season so far, with some opposition stats.

Premier League Week 11 Predictions – Preview Summary

H2H stats are for all time unless stated, and other stats are based on last season. 

This week we have included a new prediction feature based on a bunch of stats, which are explained at the end to save you time now.

FRIDAY GAMES

ASTON VILLA v NEWCASTLE

Game off thanks to Coronavirus.

Barely Interesting Stat:

Jack Grealish has been fouled 40 times this season, next worst is Sadio Mane on 28. Fellow Villain Ezri Konsa is third on 24.

Aston Villa and Newcastle have played each other at least once on every day of the week, and Aston Villa only have the daily H2H lead on a Monday.

SATURDAY GAMES

BURNLEY v EVERTON

MATCH STATS

Why Burnley can win

Burnley are ahead of Everton in the last six game form. 5 points to 4 points despite scoring just one goal in that run of six games.

Burnley won this clash last season 1-0.

Why Everton can win.

Burnley have scored one goal at home this season.

Everton have a 100% record away to bottom six sides this season.

Everton’s xG is over twice as high as Burnley’s, but Burnley are only two shots per game behind.

Barely Interesting Stat:

The last time Everton beat Burnley at Turf Moor on a Saturday was in 1970 – seven games ago.

Why Should We Care

Because this is now the first game of the weekend.

We Say….

Burnley 1 Everton 0

S&C Computer Says….

MANCHESTER CITY v FULHAM

MATCH STATS

Why Man City can win

Man City have better shots, shots on target, xG, xPts stats than Fulham.

Fulham haven’t scored a goal in their last four visits to Man City, losing all four by a combined 13-0. The last Fulham scored a goal at Man City they won the game 3-2 in 2008.

Man City have won the last seven games in a row at all grounds by a combined 21-3.

Why Fulham can win.

Covid strikes Man City.

Fulham are playing better, and did upset Leicester last time out. 

Barely Interesting Stat:

Fulham have a 100% record against top six sides away from home. Man City have a 100% record at home to bottom six sides.

Between 2003 and 2008 Manchester City won just one of the ten clashes with Fulham.

Why Should We Care

There is interest to see if this is going to be Man City pulling another lower team’s pants down at home, or with Fulham looking better in recent weeks can they cause a surprise.

We Say….

Manchester City 3 Fulham 1

S&C Computer Says….

WEST HAM v MANCHESTER UNITED

MATCH STATS

Why West Ham can win

Man Utd haven’t beaten a London team in four attempts this season (3L 1D)

West Ham are unbeaten in their last four home games which includes a 1-1 draw with Man City and a 4-0 thrashing of Wolves. 

They also ruined Aston Villa’s 100% away record last weekend.

West Ham’s xG is ahead by nearly three goals, but Man Utd lead on Shots and Shots on Target.

Man Utd have won only one of the last five meetings. And one in five at West Ham too.

The home side have not lost any of the last six clashes.

Why Man Utd can win.

Man Utd have a 100% record away from home this season.

If they go behind, they are more likely to win than any other team. Nine points won from losing positions this season.

Bruno Fernandes

West Ham only won one of the last 11 matches with Man Utd on a Saturday.

Barely Interesting Stat:

Man Utd have 16 points, have currently scored 16 goals, and conceded 16 goals. West Ham have 17 points, have scored 17 goals, but sadly for this bit only conceded 11 goals. Killjoys.

Why Should We Care

Will West Ham break Man Utd’s 100% away record. West Ham have done very well against the big opponents this season.

We Say….

West Ham 2 Man Utd 2

S&C Computer Says….

CHELSEA v LEEDS UTD

MATCH STATS

Why Chelsea can win

Chelsea have the equal biggest goal difference.

Leeds’ last trip to London saw an eventful 4-1 loss to Crystal Palace.

Chelsea have won the last three in a row at home v Leeds.

Why Leeds can win.

Because of the way Leeds play, they can beat anyone at anytime.

Chelsea have won 3/16 v Leeds in December. Leeds have won six.

Barely Interesting Stat:

Chelsea have the lowest xA (Expected Goals against) in the Premier League this season. Currently the only team with an xA of under 10 goals.

No side have been caught offside more than Leeds.

Why Should We Care

This should be plenty entertaining.

We Say….

Chelsea 3 Leeds 2

S&C Computer Says….

SUNDAY GAMES

WEST BROM v CRYSTAL PALACE

MATCH STATS

Why West Brom can win

Momentum. West Brom got their first win of the season last weekend.

Crystal Palace don’t have Zaha.

The away side has yet to score in three games on a Sunday.

Why Crystal Palace can win.

Crystal Palace have twice the xG than West Brom.  Wilfried Zaha’s xG is over four, two thirds of West Brom’s total. Despite all that West Brom have the same number of shots per game as Crystal Palace.

West Brom haven’t beaten Crystal Palace in four attempts in December.

West Brom have won just once in their last six home games v Crystal Palace (1W 3L 2D)

Barely Interesting Stat:

Both teams have the same average points per game against the bottom six sides at home for West Brom and away for Crystal Palace. (2.0 pts per game)

Despite West Brom scoring just four goals at home this season, it is still one more than Man Utd have at home.

The last three games involving West Brom have ended 1-0.

Why Should We Care

There’s probably a reason.

We Say….

West Brom 1 Crystal Palace 0

S&C Computer Says….

SHEFFIELD UTD v LEICESTER

MATCH STATS

Why Sheffield Utd can win

Leicester have lost two in a row since defeat by Liverpool recently, a similar pattern after last season’s latest clash with Liverpool brought a title challenge crashing back to reality.

Leicester have won the first and the latest clash between these sides in December, and none of the 10 games in between.

Why Leicester can win.

Sheffield Utd have scored one goal at home this season, Leicester have scored 13 away.

Leicester have a 100% record away to non big six sides this season.

Leicester have won five games straight v Sheffield Utd and six of the last seven 

Barely Interesting Stat:

Leicester only average 0.7 shots per game more than Sheffield Utd.

These sides have never met on a Sunday.

Why Should We Care

Can Sheffield Utd win a game? Are Leicester on that shite run of form after losing to Liverpool like the previous season.

We Say….

Sheffield Utd 3 Leicester 1

S&C Computer Says….

SPURS v ARSENAL

MATCH STATS

Why Spurs can win

Arsenal are second last for last six form, with only Burnley scoring fewer goals than Arsenal’s two.

Spurs have more everything in attacking stats than Arsenal. – xG, Shots, Shots on Target, Goals.

Spurs have scored twice as many goals as Arsenal.

Arsenal are 0/3 against top six sides this season.

Spurs are 1/1 against the big six clubs at home, Arsenal are 1/3 away against big six clubs.

Arsenal have won only one of the last six games v Spurs on a Sunday.

Why Arsenal can win.

Arsenal are 2/2 against London clubs this season. Spurs have two draws from their two matches v London teams.

Barely Interesting Stat:

Arsenal have never been beaten by Spurs on a Sunday in December.

Why Should We Care

This weekend’s premium clash based on hatred of the other club from each set of fans.

We Say….

Spurs 1 Arsenal 0

S&C Computer Says….

LIVERPOOL v WOLVES

MATCH STATS

Why Liverpool can win

Liverpool have 100% record at home this season, and haven’t been beaten at home in years.

Wolves average zero points away to top six sides this season.

Liverpool have twice the xG than Wolves this season.

Liverpool have won both of the Sunday clashes with Wolves at home.

Why Wolves can win.

Wolves have a 100% record away to the big six teams this season.

Barely Interesting Stat:

Wolves have only scored one goal in the last six games v Liverpool in December

Why Should We Care

Liverpool are always entertaining, and Jota primed to score against his old club. Going for five goals in five games since his first at Anfield. Adama Traore looks back in favour too.

We Say….

Liverpool 2 Wolves 0

S&C Computer Says….

BRIGHTON v SOUTHAMPTON

MATCH STATS

Why Brighton can win

Because they finally got the result they deserved against a top side last weekend. Albeit with loads of assistance from VAR.

Why Southampton can win.

Southampto have a 100% record against bottom six sides home and away this season.

Barely Interesting Stat:

Brighton’s xG is almost four goals more than Southampton’s despite being ten places lower.

Why Should We Care

Are you still reading? What else are you going to do on a Monday night/Tuesday morning.

We Say….

Brighton 2 Southampton 1

S&C Computer Says….

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