Worth slightly less than a transfer window, worried that a change of manager has made no difference, sporting longer hair than some Man Utd supporters, playing in a formation that was unfashionable and illegal 60 years ago, and somehow getting the full support of the Chairman, it’s our 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 13.
Each gameweek in this 2025-26 Premier League season we offer up a stat filled prediction preview, with some barely interesting stats and visuals, just enough to bluff your way through various tipping competitions or betting shops.
We also attempted to guess the final Premier League ladder in advance. Follow the link to that here.
Barely Interesting Stats – 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 13 – Stats and Thoughts
Help yourself to a buffet of barely interesting stats, quick one liners and more to help pick a winner.
BEST OF WEEK 13 STATS
Sunderland are one of the five teams to still be unbeaten at home this season (W3 D3).
Spurs’ xG v Arsenal last weekend was 0.03. Only Burnley have a worse expected goals total at home this season.
Aston Villa have played the most Sunday games this season and have the second best Points per Game with a W4 D1 L1 record.
Liverpool have lost just one of their last 17 games v West Ham going back to 2017 (W14 D2 L1). Three goals or more have been scored in 13 of those 17 games.
2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 13
SAT 3PM – BRENTFORD v BURNLEY
Stats: Brentford have won their last two home games v Burnley 3-0 and 2-0. Brentford are W1 L2 v current bottom six teams this season and have lost their only game to a promoted side. Burnley have lost both of their away games v middle eight teams. Burnley are W1 L5 on the road this season. Brentford are a solid W4 D1 L1 at home.
Verdict: The most Saturday 3pm kick off game of the week.
Prediction: Brentford 2 Burnley 0
SAT 3PM – MANCHESTER CITY v LEEDS
Stats: Man City have won their last four games v Leeds. Leeds have lost both of their games v big six clubs so far. Man City have won their only game v promoted sides. Man City have won both of their games so far against the current bottom six clubs, Leeds have lost all three games v current top six sides.
Verdict: One does wonder how badly Pep will crack it if they lose this one. Can’t see that happening though.
Prediction: Man City 3 Leeds 0
SAT 3PM – SUNDERLAND v BOURNEMOUTH
Stats: Sunderland are one of the five teams to still be unbeaten at home this season (W3 D3). Bournemouth (W1 D2 L3) have won just once away from home. Three of the five games played between these sides at Sunderland have ended in a draw. The other two are a win for each team. Bournemouth’s only game v promoted sides this season ended in a draw. Both sides are W1 D1 L1 v current middle eight sides. Bournemouth are currently conceding three more goals than expected goals says they should. Sunderland have conceded three fewer.
Verdict: Who’d think this game would be 7th v 8th and that’s after both sides haven’t won in their last three games.
Prediction: Sunderland 1 Bournemouth 1
SAT 5:30PM – EVERTON v NEWCASTLE
Stats: Everton are winless in their last three home games v Newcastle on a Saturday (D1 L2). Newcastle are winless away this season (D3 L3) and have lost three in a row coming into this game. Everton’s home record this season is W3 D2 L1. Newcastle are winless v current middle eight teams D1 L2.
Verdict: The two Manchester defeating teams from last weekend meet looking to edge away from relegation trouble. Newcastle’s away form won’t help.
Prediction: Everton 1 Newcastle 1
SAT 8PM – TOTTENHAM v FULHAM
Stats: Spurs are undefeated in their last six home games to Fulham (W4 D2). Fulham are undefeated in their last two Sunday games v Spurs W1 D1. Fulham (D1 L1) are winless on a Sunday this season and Spurs aren’t much better at W1 L2. Spurs’ xG v Arsenal last weekend was 0.03. Only Burnley have a worse expected goals total at home this season.
Verdict: Is Ange available?
Prediction: Spurs 0 Fulham 0
SUN 12PM – CRYSTAL PALACE v MANCHESTER UTD
Stats: Crystal Palace are undefeated in their last four matches v Man Utd (W3 D1). It’s four undefeated at home to Man Utd too, but the results are reversed (W1 D3). Man Utd are winless away to London clubs this season D2 L1. Crystal Palace are 1/1 at home to big six clubs. Crystal Palace are currently underperforming to their expected goals by 6.5. Man Utd are underperforming by 3.5 goals. Crystal Palace have drawn their two home games on a Sunday this season.
Verdict: This could be either very entertaining or frustrating.
Prediction: Crystal Palace 2 Man Utd 2
SUN 2:05PM – ASTON VILLA v WOLVES
Stats: Aston Villa have won their last two home games v Wolve and the only Sunday game at Villa Park v Wolves. Aston Villa have won six of their last seven games in the league and their last four at home. Wolves have one point from six games away this season, it doesn’t help when you’ve only scored one goal away. Aston Villa have played the most Sunday games this season and have the second best Points per Game with a W4 D1 L1 record. Wolves’ Sunday record is D1 L1.
Verdict: Poor Wolves. New manager may not help.
Prediction: Aston Villa 3 Wolves 1
SUN 2:05PM – WEST HAM v LIVERPOOL
Stats: Only Wolves have worse last six form than Liverpool. They have now lost six of their last seven games. Liverpool only lost four games in total last season. Liverpool have lost just one of their last 17 games v West Ham going back to 2017 (W14 D2 L1). Three goals or more have been scored in 13 of those 17 games. Liverpool have won six of the last seven games on a Sunday v West Ham. The Hammers have scored as many points as Tottenham since Nuno was hired.
Verdict: How low can it go for Liverpool? Probably the sack for either manager if they lose.
Prediction: West Ham 2 Liverpool 2
SUN 2:05PM – NOTTINGHAM FOREST v BRIGHTON
Stats: 19 goals have been scored in the past four games between Nottingham Forest and Brighton in Nottingham. Forest have won three of those games with Brighton winning one. Nottingham Forest won this game 7-0 last season. Nottingham Forest have won neither of the two games played on a Sunday between these sides (D1 L1). Nottingham Forest are W2 L1 on a Sunday at home this season while Brighton are D2 L1 away. Forest are D1 L2 v current top six sides while Brighton are W1 D2 v bottom six sides.
Verdict: Is the middle child of the 2pm kick offs on Sunday.
Prediction: Nottingham Forest 2 Brighton 0
SUN 4:30PM – CHELSEA v ARSENAL
Stats: Arsenal are undefeated in seven league games v Chelsea (W5 D2). Arsenal (W3 D3) are undefeated in their last six league games at Chelsea, with the last two games ended up a draw. Arsenal are W2 D1 L1 v big six clubs this season, while Chelsea are W2 L1. One of those wins for Chelsea was the only home game v big six clubs this season. Arsenal are 4/4 v London clubs, Chelsea are W3 D2. Brighton and Bournemouth are the only other sides to be unbeaten v London clubs.
Verdict: First v second to end the GW, with midweek games ahead.
Prediction: Chelsea 0 Arsenal 1
2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 13
Brentford 2 Burnley 0
Man City 3 Leeds 0
Sunderland 1 Bournemouth 1
Everton 1 Newcastle 1
Spurs 0 Fulham 0
Crystal Palace 2 Man Utd 2
Aston Villa 3 Wolves 1
West Ham 2 Liverpool 2
Nottingham Forest 2 Brighton 0
Chelsea 0 Arsenal 1
Season Progress
RATING: Going better than Wolves, and at least we got the Draw of the Week.
SEASON: 56/120 – 7 perfect scores.
LAST WEEK: 3/10 – 0 perfect score.
2025-26 Premier League Season Stats
Each week we’ll bring you some of the choicest cuts of stats we have created from our Data super computer called Jeff.
