Worth slightly less than a transfer window, more annoying than an international break, with longer hair than some Man Utd supporters, playing in a formation that was unfashionable and illegal 60 years ago, and somehow getting the full support of the Chairman, it’s our 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 12.
Each gameweek in this 2025-26 Premier League season we offer up a stat filled prediction preview, with some barely interesting stats and visuals, just enough to bluff your way through various tipping competitions or betting shops.
We also attempted to guess the final Premier League ladder in advance. Follow the link to that here.
Barely Interesting Stats – 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 12 – Stats and Thoughts
Help yourself to a buffet of barely interesting stats, quick one liners and more to help pick a winner.
BEST OF WEEK 12 STATS
Chelsea have scored four goals in four of their last five trips to Burnley, with the other game seeing three Chelsea goals.
West Ham have never beaten Bournemouth on a Saturday (D5 L4).
Leeds have never lost to Aston Villa at home on a Sunday in the six games. The only problem is they have only won once.
The overall record for Arsenal at home to Spurs in the League since 1992 is W19 D12 L2.
SAT 12:30PM – BURNLEY v CHELSEA
Chelsea are undefeated in their last 11 games v Burnley (W8 D3). At Burnley it is nine games unbeaten for Chelsea, winning the last six. Chelsea have scored four goals in four of their last five trips to Burnley, with the other game seeing three Chelsea goals. Chelsea are four wins from four v the current bottom six team, while Burnley are W1 L4 v the current top six teams.
Verdict: Looks like a pretty one sided way to restart the Premier League.
Prediction: Burnley 0 Chelsea 4
SAT 3PM – FULHAM v SUNDERLAND
Seven of the last 12 Saturday games between Fulham and Sunderland have ended in a draw, with three of the last four Saturday games at Fulham also ending in a draw. Fulham have lost all three games against the current top six sides. But Fulham are 1/1 v promoted sides. Sunderland (W3 D2) are one of five teams left that are yet to lose to a London team this season.
Verdict: More heroics from Sunderland this weekend? Even as a bitter Ipswich fan who wished his team could have been half as good as Sunderland have been, I hope so.
Prediction: Fulham 1 Sunderland 2
SAT 3PM – BOURNEMOUTH v WEST HAM
West Ham have never beaten Bournemouth on a Saturday (D5 L4). The last three games between these sides on a Saturday have ended in a draw. The last four games between these sides on any day have ended in a draw. Six of the ten games played between these sides at Bournemouth have ended in a draw. Bournemouth’s 2.6 average points at home is the equal best in the Premier League with Arsenal. Bournemouth are W3 D1 v current bottom six teams.
Verdict: Anyone for a draw? West Ham might settle for one.
Prediction: Bournemouth 1 West Ham 1
SAT 3PM – LIVERPOOL v NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Nottingham Forest were unbeaten v Liverpool last season (W1 D1). Liverpool are at least 1/1 v current bottom six sides. Nottingham Forest are D1 L2 v big six clubs. Liverpool are averaging the most shots per game this season while Nottingham Forest are averaging the fourth most shots against per game. Both teams are in the top five for expected goals against.
Verdict: Things are getting so bad in Liverpool that their game is on a Saturday at 3pm. It will be full crisis time in Liverpool if they lose this one.
Prediction: Liverpool 2 Nottingham Forest 1
SAT 3PM – BRIGHTON v BRENTFORD
Brighton are unbeaten in four games at home to Brentford (W2 D2). But that turns to four winless at home on a Saturday (D2 L2). Five of the last eight games between these sides at Brighton have ended in a draw. Brentford have lost all four away games v middle eight teams (at time of fixture not current) this season. Brentford and Brighton almost have an identical for and against this season.
Verdict: Two teams with almost identical season record can only end in a draw.
Prediction: Brighton 1 Brentford 1
SAT 3PM – WOLVES v CRYSTAL PALACE
The next worst team in the top four divisions is Sheffield Wednesday who have one win and five draws this season, but also had one of the worst Football Club owners in recent UK history. Crystal Palace (W7 D1 L1) have lost just one of their last nine games v Wolves. The results are better for Wolves at home though, with the six games there since 2020 ending in a W3 D1 L2 record for Wolves. Although it is D2 L3 on a Saturday at home to Crystal Palace. Wolves are averaging more goals per game at home this season than Spurs.
Verdict: Poor Wolves. Although Derby County fans are starting to get excited.
Prediction: Wolves 0 Crystal Palace 2
SAT 5:30PM – NEWCASTLE v MANCHESTER CITY
Man City are unbeaten in their last 12 league games v Newcastle. Silver lining for Newcastle is that it is at least W3 D3 at home in the last six at St James’ Park. Newcastle’s W3 L2 home record this season is marginally better than Man City’s away record of W2 D1 L2. Newcastle are two losses from two games v big six clubs this season. And for no good reason, prior to Man City’s takeover in 2008, Newcastle had won 71% of their home games v Man City on a Saturday.
Verdict: It’s about now where Man City usually win a million in a row and win the comp.
Prediction: Newcastle 0 Man City 2
SUN 2PM – LEEDS v ASTON VILLA
Aston Villa are W1 D1 v promoted clubs this season. Aston Villa are undefeated in their last five trips to Leeds (W2 D3). Going back 15 games at Leeds, Aston Villa have lost just twice with eight draws. On a Sunday, Leeds are unbeaten in the last six games with two wins and four draws. Even better news for Leeds fans, they have never lost to Aston Villa at home on a Sunday. The only problem is they have only won once.
Verdict: Another draw coming up, in a week that looks choc full of them.
Prediction: Leeds 1 Aston Villa 1
SUN 4:30PM – ARSENAL v TOTTENHAM
Arsenal are unbeaten in the last six league games v Arsenal (W5 D1). It’s six unbeaten in the last six home games too (W4 D2). Going deeper, Spurs’ record at Arsenal is terrible. In 33 League matches in the Premier League era, Spurs have won at Arsenal twice. The overall record for Arsenal at home to Spurs in the League since 1992 is W19 D12 L2. Worse still, Spurs have never beaten Arsenal at Arsenal on a Sunday (D4 L9). But at least Spurs and Arsenal have the same record v big six sides this season – W1 D1 L1.
Verdict: The big London derby where Arsenal fans will be cockier than ever, forgive the Spurs based pun.
Prediction: Arsenal 1 Spurs 1
MON 8PM – MANCHESTER UNITED v EVERTON
Man Utd are unbeaten in their last six v Everton – W5 D1. Man Utd’s recent record v Everton at home is even better with 11 games unbeaten – W7 D4. The last three Monday games between these sides have ended with a win each and a draw. Everton have lost all three games this season v big six clubs.
Verdict: If it wasn’t Man Utd playing, most will probably forget this game is on.
Prediction: Man Utd 3 Everton 1
2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 12
Burnley 0 Chelsea 4
Fulham 1 Sunderland 2
Bournemouth 1 West Ham 1
Liverpool 2 Nottingham Forest 1
Brighton 1 Brentford 1
Wolves 0 Crystal Palace 2
Newcastle 0 Man City 2
Leeds 1 Aston Villa 1
Arsenal 1 Spurs 1
Man Utd 3 Everton 1
Season Progress
RATING: A few wins on the bounce and heading for mid-table security.
SEASON: 53/110 – 7 perfect scores.
LAST WEEK: 7/10 – 1 perfect score.
2025-26 Premier League Season Stats
Each week we’ll bring you some of the choicest cuts of stats we have created from our Data super computer called Jeff.
