NRL | 2026 NRL Round 4 Tips Predictions & Stats

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It’s a big week ahead of great games, local derbies and rivalries, and a wooden spoon battle. Talking of rivalry, our 2026 NRL Round 4 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview will be battling other, better websites for a slice of the Google NRL tipping audience share.

Each week this season we will offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, plus throw in our weekly predictions like chicken salt on hot chips and you have something that seagulls and humans will fight over.

2026 NRL Round 4 Tips

Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.

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ROOSTERS by 8
WARRIORS by 16
DOLPHINS by 4
BULLDOGS by 12
PENRITH by 8
MELBOURNE by 2
CRONULLA by 14
ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA by 6

2026 NRL Round 4 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets

Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?

Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.

Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.

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2026 NRL Round 4 Tips – Weekly Barely Interesting Stats

Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for your convenience and arguments.

THU 8pm – MANLY v ROOSTERS

Roosters have won the last three v Manly

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Roosters have won the only game between these sides at Brookvale on a Thursday. They lost the other game on a Thursday at the SCG too.

Manly have a dreadful record on a Thursday – overall it’s W6 L18. At home it’s better at W5 L8. Only the Warriors have a worse win % than Manly’s 25% on a Thursday.

Manly have lost their last six Thursday games, with a last win three years ago in March 2023.
Roosters are W6 L2 away to Sydney clubs on a Thursday.

 

FRI 6pm – WAHS v WESTS TIGERS

Warriors have won nine straight v Wests Tigers.

Warriors have won five straight at home v Wests Tigers.

Warriors have on all three home games v Wests Tigers on a Friday.

Warriors have won both home games this season and scored 40+.

Wests Tigers have lost five away games in a row.

Wests Tigers have lost ten Friday away games in a row.

Wests Tigers don’t like Fridays in general, it’s 13 losses in a row home or away on a Friday.

Wests Tigers have lost ten in a row on a Friday home or away against non Sydney sides.

 

FRI 8pm – BRISBANE v DOLPHINS

Brisbane are 3/3 v Dolphins as the home side.

Brisbane are 3/3 v Dolphins on a Friday.

Brisbane have won nine games in a row v Queensland opposition on a Friday.

Brisbane have won ten in a row at home on a Friday v Queensland opposition and lost just one of ten games after that. Overall it’s W27 L4 v Qld sides at home on a Friday.

Dolphins have lost all four games on a Friday at Suncorp Stadium v Qld opposition.

Friday is the Dolphins worst day for win % along with Saturdays.

 

SAT 3pm – BULLDOGS v NEWCASTLE @ Accor Stadium

Bulldogs have won three in a row v Newcastle, and the Knights scored 0 and 2 in the last tow of those games.

Bulldogs have won six in a row on a Saturday v Newcastle in NSW outside of Qld Covid games.

Bulldogs were W6 L1 on a Saturday last season.

Newcastle won their last three Saturday away games in 2025. They only won four away games in 2025 and three of them were on a Saturday.

 

SAT 5:30pm – PENRITH v PARRAMATTA @ CommBank Stadium

Penrith are conceding at less than four points a game so far in 2026.
Penrith have won their last four games v Parramatta, the last three were at CommBank Stadium.

Penrith’s record v Parramatta on a Saturday is historically not great. They won the last match in 2021 but it is W5 L11 overall since 1998.

Four of the seven games between these sides at CommBank have seen a margin of eight points or less.

Penrith have won their last six games on a Saturday.

Penrith’s record at CommBank on a Saturday is W3 L2.

Penrith are W72 L16 v Sydney clubs since 2020.

Parramatta are W3 L2 at CommBank as the away side.

Parramatta have lost seven straight away games on a Saturday, with a last win in 2023.

Going back to 2013, Parramatta’s away record on a Saturday v Sydney teams is W4 L18.

 

SAT 7:30pm – NORTH QUEENSLAND v MELBOURNE

The last four games for the Cowboys v Melbourne in Townsville have seen a six point loss, and three straight wins before that.

North Queensland have lost their last four home games on a Saturday.

Melbourne have lost their last three games v Qld opposition. Although all three were against the Broncos.

Melbourne record away to Qld sides since 2022 is W8 L7.

Melbourne have won four in a row on the road to Qld sides.

 

SUN 4pm – CANBERRA v CRONULLA

Cronulla have won four of the last five v Canberra.

Cronulla have won their last three games v Canberra on a Sunday.

Canberra have only won three of the last 11 home games v Cronulla on a Sunday.

Canberra have won nine of their last 11 at home v Sydney teams.

Canberra had won six straight home games on a Sunday before last season’s finals loss to Brisbane.

Cronulla were W2 L3 away on a Sunday last season.

 

SUN 6:15pm – GOLD COAST v ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA

Gold Coast have lost 15 games in a row on a Sunday.

Gold Coast have lost six games in a row at home on a Sunday.

Gold Coast are least W7 L10 from their last 17 home games at CBUS Stadium v Sydney clubs on any day.

Dragons have won the last three v Gold Coast and five of the last six.

Dragons have now lost seven in a row going back into last season.

Dragons have lost nine away games in a row.

Since 2022 the Dragons away record is W10 L40. On a Sunday since 2022 it’s W4 L15.

 

2026 Season Stats so far……

With only a few games gone, there’s not a lot to see yet, but that doesn’t stop us showing what we have.

2026 NRL Round 3 Results Stats - Season Stats 1 2026 NRL Round 3 Results Stats - Season Stats 2

2026 NRL Round 3 Results Stats - Season Stats 3

 

More Stuff

READ MORE: THE GURGLER’S FULL NRL 2026 GEAR

We’ve been working hard for you to bring you the 2026 NRL Season Previews from every angle and angel possible. But never Jo Angel.

NRL DONKEY’S 2026 SEASON PREVIEW
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WHY YOUR TEAM CAN’T WIN THE 2026 NRL PREMIERSHIP
NRL 2026 RATINGS PREDICTIONS
2026 NRL JERSEY RATINGS WITH AI GREK NORMAN
2026 NRL DRAW ANALYSIS
2026 NRL DRAW ANALYSIS – TEAM BY TEAM
THE A TO Z OF THE 2025 NRL SEASON

 

 

 

 

 

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Max Laynehttps://www.thegurgler.com
Max has no time for long bios, he has only time for sport and then more sport. Each week he tries to sum up what sport has tickled the collective fancy of The Gurgler.

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