Worth slightly less than a transfer window, worried that a change of manager will make no difference, with more point than an entire pack of Wolves, playing in a formation that was unfashionable and illegal 60 years ago, and yet somehow still getting the full support of the Chairman before they post that sad picture on social media of a lonely corner flag before thanking us for our service, it’s our 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 17.
Each gameweek in this 2025-26 Premier League season we offer up a stat filled prediction preview, with some barely interesting stats and visuals, just enough to bluff your way through various tipping competitions or betting shops. But it’s hard at this time of the year to keep, as well as deliver Christmas cheer, so apologies in advance if the barely interesting stats aren’t barely enough, or our predictions are too mediocre.
Barely Interesting Stats – 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 17 – Stats and Thoughts
Help yourself to a buffet of barely interesting stats, quick one liners and more to help pick a winner.
BEST OF WEEK 17 STATS
Newcastle have won their last three games v Chelsea at home, and by a combined 7-1.
Man City have won nine in a row v West Ham at home, with an overall home record v West Ham of W22 D3 L4 going back to 1992.
Going back to 2013, Liverpool have a record v Spurs of W17 D6 L2.
Aston Villa’s home record v Man Utd is W1 D7 L19 going back to 2000.
2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 17
SAT 12:30PM – NEWCASTLE v CHELSEA
Stats: Newcastle have won their last three games v Chelsea at home, and by a combined 7-1. Home form holds up going a bit further back to, with Newcastle’s home record over the last 12 leagues v Chelsea W8 D1 L3. On a Saturday in Newcastle it is W6 D1 L2. Newcastle have a great record on Saturday this season W5 D2 L1 winning all four home games on a Saturday this season.
Verdict: Lucky Newcastle are good at home.
Prediction: Newcastle 1 Chelsea 0
SAT 3PM – WOLVES v BRENTFORD
Stats: The last game played between these teams on a Saturday ended 5-3 to Brentford. Wolves are D1 L7 at home and Brentford are W1 L7 away. Both are on a run of four straight losses home/away.
Verdict: What a cracker…a team that can’t win away against a team can’t win at all.
Prediction: Wolves 0 Brentford 0
SAT 3PM – BOURNEMOUTH v BURNLEY
Stats: Bournemouth have scored exactly two goals in their last four games v Burnley for a return of W3 L1. Burnley have now lost seven games in a row. Bournemouth are W2 D2 v current bottom six teams. Both of these teams average the most goals conceded away from home.
Verdict: The Saturday 3pm special of the week.
Prediction: Bournemouth 2 Burnley 0
SAT 3PM – MANCHESTER CITY v WEST HAM
Stats: West Ham are without a win vs the big six clubs this season so far D1 L4, and are one of only three clubs not to beat a big six club – Burnley and Wolves are the others. Man City have won six in a row vs West Ham. Man City have also not lost to West Ham since 2015 for a record of W17 L3. Man City have won nine in a row v West Ham at home, with an overall home record v West Ham of W22 D3 L4 going back to 1992.
Verdict: Man City hitting form playing West Ham at home…that’s a paddling.
Prediction: Man City 5 West Ham 1
SAT 3PM – BRIGHTON v SUNDERLAND
Stats: Brighton have won ten of their last 12 home games v Sunderland, the other two results were losses. Going back to all-time, Brighton win rate at home to Sunderland is 71%. Brighton are 1/1 v promoted sides this season. Sunderland have already overtaken Southampton’s away points from last season.
Verdict: A game that wouldn’t have looked out of place in the third tier a decade ago, is now a reasonably interesting Premier League match.
Prediction: Brighton 2 Sunderland 0
SAT 5:30PM – TOTTENHAM v LIVERPOOL
Stats: Going back to 2013, Liverpool have a record v Spurs of W17 D6 L2. Away to Spurs the record since 2013 is W7 D3 L2. Spurs have a slightly better record this season v big six clubs – W1 D1 L2 vs Liverpool W1 L3. Both Liverpool and Spurs have won only three games since Gameweek 6.
Verdict: Premium match for teams that should be going much better and aren’t. Stay for the car crash.
Prediction: Spurs 0 Liverpool 1
SAT 8PM – LEEDS v CRYSTAL PALACE
Stats: Crystal Palace did the double over Leeds last time around with a combined score of 7-2. Prior to that last season Leeds have won seven in a row at home to Crystal Palace. Leeds have won the last four home games on a Saturday v Crystal Palace, with three or more goals scored in all of those wins as well as both teams scoring. Crystal Palace are W1 D1 v promoted clubs. Crystal Palace’s W5 D1 L2 record away from home is the Premier League’s best, and they have conceded the fewest goals.
Verdict: Feels like this is the entertainers match of the week.
Prediction: Leeds 2 Crystal Palace 3
SAT 8PM – EVERTON v ARSENAL
Stats: Both games ended in a draw last season. Arsenal have an ordinary record away to Everton, their last seven trips have ended W1 D2 L4. It’s D2 L2 for Arsenal in the last four on a Saturday. Arsenal are 6/6 wins over bottom six clubs (at time of game).
Verdict: Saturday night is a good night to hit the bottle.
Prediction: Everton 1 Arsenal 1
SUN 4:30PM – ASTON VILLA v MANCHESTER UTD
Stats: Aston Villa’s recent record at home to Man Utd reads ok, with W1 D2 L1. But going further back for their home record, it shows a run of W1 D7 L19 going back to 2000. Man Utd’s record on a Sunday v Aston Villa is W14 D5 L2. Aston Villa have the best record on a Sunday with W8 D1 L1, while Man Utd is less excellent with W2 D1 L1.
Verdict: The dark horse for the title bid continues.
Prediction: Aston Villa 2 Man Utd 2
MONDAY 8PM – FULHAM v NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Stats: Fulham have won their last three home games to Nottingham Forest by a combined total of 9-1. Fulham have a great record at home for midweek games v Nottingham Forest, W7 D2 L1.Fulham W2 D2 are unbeaten on a Monday v Forest at home. Nottingham Forest are winless away to London clubs this season (D1 L1).
Verdict: Typical that a team with Ham in the name and a team with a bright red shirt with a tree for a logo is the closest game to Christmas Day.
Prediction: Fulham 2 Nottingham Forest 0
2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 17
And here are all the tips together in one place for your convenience.
Newcastle 1 Chelsea 0
Wolves 0 Brentford 0
Bournemouth 2 Burnley 0
Man City 5 West Ham 1
Brighton 2 Sunderland 0
Spurs 0 Liverpool 1
Leeds 2 Crystal Palace 3
Everton 1 Arsenal 1
Aston Villa 2 Man Utd 2
Fulham 2 Nottingham Forest 0
Season Progress
RATING: Barely better than Wolves.
SEASON: 63/130 – 9 perfect scores.
LAST TIME: 4/10 – 2 perfect scores.
2025-26 Premier League Season Stats
Each week we’ll bring you some of the choicest cuts of stats we have created from our Data super computer called Jeff.
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