Worth slightly less than a transfer window, with longer hair than some Man Utd supporters, playing in a formation that was unfashionable and illegal 60 years ago, and somehow getting the full support of the Chairman, it’s our 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 11.
Each gameweek in this 2025-26 Premier League season we offer up a stat filled prediction preview, with some barely interesting stats and visuals, just enough to bluff your way through various tipping competitions or betting shops.
We also attempted to guess the final Premier League ladder in advance. Follow the link to that here.
Barely Interesting Stats – 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 11 – Stats and Thoughts
Help yourself to a buffet of barely interesting stats, quick one liners and more to help pick a winner.
BEST OF WEEK 11 STATS
Spurs’ Expected Goals of 0.15 last weekend v Chelsea was the equal lowest single game return this season along with Newcastle (v Bournemouth)
Liverpool are unbeaten in all Sunday games v Man City at Man City (W4 D7).
Sunderland (W3 D2) are unbeaten at home this season, and are one of only five teams this season not to lose at home.
SAT 12:30PM – TOTTENHAM v MAN UTD
STATS: Spurs’ Expected Goals of 0.15 last weekend v Chelsea was the equal lowest single game return this season along with Newcastle (v Bournemouth), and only just ahead of their next worst 0.17 v Bournemouth. Spurs are unbeaten in their last five league games v Man Utd (W3 D2) and did the double last season. Spurs are W1 L1 v big six clubs this season, while Man Utd are W2 L2. Man Utd are D1 L1 for trips to London this season. Spurs have the third lowest average Expected Goals v big six clubs this season, while Man Utd has the fourth best. Spurs also have the third worst Expected Goals at home this season.
Verdict: One does wonder if Spurs fans would be happier having Ange. Old mate Man Utd fan needing a haircut waiting for five straight wins has to reset after last weekend.
Tottenham 0 Man Utd 1
SAT 3PM – WEST HAM v BURNLEY
STATS: Three of the last four games between West Ham and Burnley have been draws including the last two games at West Ham. Only Wolves have a worst Points per Game at home this season. Burnley are two losses from two games v London clubs. Burnley’s record v current bottom six clubs is W2 D1, West Ham’s is W1 L1. Burnley average the fewest shots on goal while conceding the most shots on goal. The net result is -10 shots per game. West Ham aren’t much better at -4.5. There have been over 2.5 goals in every Burnley away game this season.
Verdict: Has 3pm on a Saturday written all over it.
West Ham 2 Burnley 0
SAT 3PM – EVERTON v FULHAM
STATS: Fulham are undefeated in their last four trips to Everton (W3 D1), although that was at a different ground. Fulham are winless away this season and have lost four in a row on the road. Fulham are one of four teams not to win away from home yet this season, along with Wolves, Nottingham Forest and Newcastle. Everton and Fulham have the equal lowest Shots on Target this season at 27%.
Verdict: Another Saturday 3pm special.
Everton 1 Fulham 0
SAT 5:30PM – SUNDERLAND v ARSENAL
STATS: Sunderland (W3 D2) are unbeaten at home this season, and are one of only five teams this season not to lose at home, conceding only three goals in those five matches. Although, Arsenal have conceded only three goals in all of their ten Premier League games. Sunderland’s record v big six clubs this season so far is W1 L1. Arsenal are 2/2 v promoted sides this season. It’s only 1/5 games for both Arsenal at home and Sunderland away where both teams have scored. Sunderland last beat Arsenal in February 2012 in a Cup fixture. It’s 2009 and L10 D5 in the League since their last win over Arsenal. Sunderland last beat Arsenal in the League at Arsenal in 1983.
Verdict: A big potential banana skin for Arsenal. Sunderland continue to impress, as an Ipswich fan, quite jealous.
Sunderland 1 Arsenal 1
SAT 8PM – CHELSEA v WOLVES
STATS: The record for teams who sacked their manager in the first game of the new hire this season is D1 L2. This Millenium Chelsea’s record at home to Wolves is W8 D3 L1, with that only loss coming in the second last meeting between the sides at Chelsea. Chelsea are 3/3 for games against the current bottom six sides. Wolves are D1 L1 v big six clubs this season. Wolves have one point and have scored one goal away from home this season.
Verdict: Will the new manager bounce be enough. Probably not. Wolves need something soon.
Chelsea 3 Wolves 0
SUN 2PM – CRYSTAL PALACE v BRIGHTON
STATS: Crystal Palace did the double over Brighton last season. That win last season at Crystal Palace ended a run of six straight 1-1 draws between these sides at Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace’s form on a Sunday this season is W1 D2 L2 and Brighton’s is W1 D1 L1. Brighton have won their only trip to a London club this season. Crystal Palace top the league for Expected Goals at home.
Verdict: A nice derby game for the Sunday. So many draws.
Crystal Palace 1 Brighton 1
SUN 2PM – ASTON VILLA v BOURNEMOUTH
STATS: Aston Villa have won their last three home games. Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last three home games v Bournemouth (W2 D1). It’s the same record for Sunday games at either ground v Bournemouth on a Sunday. Aston Villa have played the equal most amount of Sunday games this season with a decent W4 D1 L1 record, even better that they are on a four game winning run on a Sunday. Bournemouth are W1 D1 L1.
Verdict: Good unbeaten runs came to an end last weekend, so at least one team will be left disappointed.
Aston Villa 2 Bournemouth 1
SUN 2PM – BRENTFORD v NEWCASTLE
STATS: Newcastle have won the only game between these sides on a Sunday. Newcastle have won five of the last six games v Brentford. Newcastle are winless v current middle eight sides (D1 L1) while Brentford are W2 D1 L1. Newcastle are one of four teams yet to win away from home this season. Brentford have lost both of their Sunday games this season. Newcastle are W1 D1 L2 on a Sunday.
Verdict: Newcastle are yet to win away from home this season, and probably won’t for a while.
Brentford 1 Newcastle 1
SUN 2PM – NOTTINGHAM FOREST v LEEDS
STATS: Nottingham Forest have won their last three home games v Leeds. Forest have never lost to Leeds on a Sunday at home (W2 D4). Nottingham Forest are W1 D1 L3 on a Sunday this season. Leeds have yet to play on a Sunday this season. Nottingham Forest’s record v promoted sides this season is D1 L1. Nottingham Forest are D1 L1 v the current bottom six sides this season, Leeds are W2 L2.
Verdict: The Forest comeback starts now.
Nottingham Forest 2 Leeds Utd 1
SUN 4:30PM – MANCHESTER CITY v LIVERPOOL
STATS: Liverpool is the only team this season who have yet to draw. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last four league games v Man City (W2 D2) including winning both games last season. Liverpool are unbeaten in all Sunday games v Man City at Man City (W4 D7). At any ground on a Sunday, Liverpool have won all but one match – W13 D15 L1. This season on a Sunday Man City are W3 D1 L2, while Liverpool are W2 L1. Man City are W1 D1 L1 v Big Six clubs this season and Liverpool are W1 L2. Liverpool are top for shots per game (16), Man City aren’t far behind with 14 per game but their Shots on Target is better (37% v 31%).
Verdict: Premium game to end the Gameweek before another meddling International break.
Liverpool 2 Man City 0
2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 11
Tottenham 0 Man Utd 1
West Ham 2 Burnley 0
Everton 1 Fulham 0
Sunderland 1 Arsenal 1
Chelsea 3 Wolves 0
Crystal Palace 1 Brighton 1
Aston Villa 2 Bournemouth 1
Brentford 1 Newcastle 1
Nottingham Forest 2 Leeds Utd 0
Liverpool 2 Man City 0
Season Progress
RATING: Improvement, edging further away from relegation.
SEASON: 46/100 – 6 perfect scores.
LAST WEEK: 6/10 – 2 perfect score.
2025-26 Premier League Season Stats
Each week we’ll bring you some of the choicest cuts of stats we have created from our Data super computer called Jeff.
