Worth slightly less than a Liverpool transfer window, scoring more than Aston Villa, playing in a formation that was unfashionable 60 years ago, and safer in our job than a Man Utd manager, it’s our 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 5.
Each gameweek in this 2025-26 Premier League season we offer up a stat filled prediction preview, with some barely interesting stats and visuals, just enough to bluff your way through various tipping competitions or betting shops.
We also attempted to guess the final Premier League ladder in advance. Follow the link to that here.
Barely Interesting Stats – 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 5 – Stats and Thoughts
Help yourself to a buffet of barely interesting stats, quick one liners and more to help pick a winner.
BEST OF WEEK 5 STATS
Liverpool’s record v Everton at home going back to 2020 is W18 D10 L1.
After each team has played two away games this season so far, only five remain unbeaten away from home – Liverpool and Spurs (W2), Crystal Palace, Chelsea (W1 D1) and Newcastle (D2).
Four teams are yet to win at home after two home games each. Wolves and West Ham (L2), Aston Villa (D1 L1) and Crystal Palace (D2).
Burnley are undefeated in their last eight v Nottingham Forest at Burnley (W7 D1).
SAT 12:30PM – LIVERPOOL v EVERTON
What better way to start the weekend of football than with a local derby.
STATS: Liverpool are W8 L1 in their last nine at home to Everton. Even better, Liverpool’s record v Everton at home going back to 2000 is W18 D10 L1. Liverpool’s record on a Saturday v Everton isn’t as good when combining grounds, Liverpool have only won two of the last nine Saturday games v Everton at any ground, with one Everton win and six draws. Liverpool are currently 5.55 points ahead of their expected points tally after four games. Everton’s 6.41 expected goals is higher than Liverpool’s 6.25.
SAT 3PM – WEST HAM v CRYSTAL PALACE
A London derby where only one team is busted arse and odds on for first manager sacking. Crystal Palace meanwhile are compiling a non offensive start to the season.
West Ham have failed to win any of their last six home games v Crystal Palace (D3 L3). Crystal Palace have scored exactly two goals on their last four trips to West Ham, ending with a record of W2 D1 L1. Crystal Palace are one of only five teams to be undefeated away from home after two away games. West Ham are one of two teams to lose both home games this season so far.
SAT 3PM – WOLVES v LEEDS
Time for Wolves to earn a point for 2025-26?
Wolves have lost all four games so far this season. Leeds have won three straight v Wolves with 14 goals scored in total across the three games, two of those games were at Wolves. Leeds are unbeaten in the last four Saturday games v Wolves (W3 D1). Wolves lost at home to promoted Ipswich last season, but did beat the other two promoted sides. Wolves expected goals at 2.21 is the Premier League’s worst record. Leeds’ expected goals is almost twice as high.
SAT 3PM – BRIGHTON v SPURS
Always an interesting clash, with or without Ange.
Brighton won both games last season, with five goals scored in each match (1-4 and 3-2). Brighton have won their last two home games v Spurs with 11 goals scored (3-2 and 4-2). Spurs have won the last three games on a Saturday at any ground.
SAT 3PM – BURNLEY v NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Not a great start for Ange in his new life at Forest, might get back on track v Burnley in a classic 3pm Saturday kind of game.
Burnley are undefeated in their last eight games v Nottingham Forest (W4 D4). Better still, Burnley are undefeated in their last eight games at home to Nottingham Forest with seven wins and a draw. Burnley have won five in a row at home to Nottingham Forest on a Saturday conceding just once in that five game run. Burnley have the worst expected goals at home with 1.17 over two games.
SAT 5:30PM – CHELSEA v MAN UTD
Once upon a time this game was premium. Once upon a time Man Utd were good.
Chelsea are undefeated in their last five home games v Man Utd (W2 D3). It’s seven home games on a Saturday without losing too (W5 D2). The last three league games on a Saturday between these sides have ended in a draw. Man Utd are already two losses from two games v big six clubs, which isn’t great but also a tough start to the season.
SAT 8PM – FULHAM v BRENTFORD
Another late night kickoff for a another mildly interesting West London derby featuring Brentford.
Fulham won both games last season. Brentford have lost just one of their last ten games on a Saturday v Fulham (W5 D4 L1). It’s one loss in 11 games on a Saturday at Fulham for Brentford too (W5 D5 L1). Neither side has beaten a fellow London club yet this season.
SUN 2PM – SUNDERLAND v ASTON VILLA
Who’d think Sunderland would be the poster child for promoted sides for the last few seasons? Or that Aston Villa haven’t scored a goal at this stage.
Aston Villa have lost just once v Sunderland over the last 12 clashes (W6 D5 L1) going back to 2011. Aston Villa are W4 L1 in the last five clashes v Aston Villa. Aston Villa are unbeaten on a Sunday v Sunderland W1 D3, with all four games played at Aston Villa. Unsurprisingly, Aston Villa’s expected goals is low at 2.86, but it is still higher than Wolves.
SUN 2PM – BOURNEMOUTH v NEWCASTLE
Looks like the perfect score draw game.
Bournemouth are undefeated in their last six games v Newcastle, with four games a score draw. Bournemouth have only lost twice v Newcastle at Bournemouth (W3 D5 L2). The only game played on a Sunday between these teams ended 1-1. Neither of these teams have played on a Sunday yet this season.
SUN 4:30PM – ARSENAL v MAN CITY
And a premium clash to end the weekend.
Arsenal are undefeated in their last four league games v Man City (W2 D2). Arsenal were the only team last season to be undefeated against the big six clubs (W5 D5). For the record Man City were W3 D2 L5. Both of these sides have won and lost a game on a Sunday this season.
2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 5
Liverpool 1 Everton 0
West Ham 0 Crystal Palace 2
Wolves 1 Leeds 0
Brighton 1 Spurs 1
Burnley 1 Nottingham Forest 0
Chelsea 2 Man Utd 1
Fulham 1 Brentford 1
Sunderland 0 Aston Villa 0
Bournemouth 1 Newcastle 1
Arsenal 2 Man City 1
Season Progress
RATING: Lower midfield form, for now. Board getting itchy feet.
SEASON: 18/40 – 0 perfect scores.
LAST WEEK: 6/10 – 0 perfect scores.
2025-26 Premier League Season Stats
Each week we’ll bring you the best of the stats we can be bothered compiling to help you agree or disagree with our selections.
Luckily there’s lots of them.
