Worth slightly less than an Isak transfer, scoring more than Aston Villa, and less point to us than Wolves, it’s our 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 4.
Each gameweek in this 2025-26 Premier League season we offer up a stat filled prediction preview, with some barely interesting stats and visuals, just enough to bluff your way through various tipping competitions or betting shops.
We also attempted to guess the final Premier League ladder in advance. Follow the link to that here.
2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 4
ARSENAL 1 NOTTINGHAM FOREST 1
NEWCASTLE 2 WOLVES 0
CRYSTAL PALACE 1 SUNDERLAND 1
EVERTON 1 ASTON VILLA 1
FULHAM 2 LEEDS 0
BOURNEMOUTH 1 BRIGHTON 2
WEST HAM 1 TOTTENHAM 1
BRENTFORD 0 CHELSEA 2
BURNLEY 0 LIVERPOOL 4
MAN CITY 2 MAN UTD 1
Season Progress
RATING: Lower midfield form, for now. Board getting itchy feet.
SEASON: 12/30 – 0 perfect scores.
LAST WEEK: 4/10 – 0 perfect scores.
Barely Interesting Stats – 2025-26 Premier League Predictions Week 4 – Stats and Thoughts
Help yourself to a buffet of barely interesting stats, quick one liners and more to help pick a winner.
BEST OF WEEK 4 STATS
Sunderland have drawn level with Southampton’s win tally from last season.
Just three teams remain unbeaten after three rounds. Last season seven teams were unbeaten after three rounds.
Leeds’ 1.7 shots on target per game is one whole shot on target fewer than the next worst.
Liverpool have won all four games v Burnley on a Sunday.
SAT 12:30PM – ARSENAL v NOTTINGHAM FOREST
Ange arrives just in time to save Nottingham…..Um….didn’t think they were going that badly. Oh well, wonder if they’ll take a Europa League title and 17th. Probably. It helps he used to be a Spurs manager for their first game v Arsenal. Certainly turned this average sounding fixture into something slightly more interesting.
Nottingham Forest’s last win at Arsenal predates the Premier League (1989 3-1). The record is W10 D4 to Arsenal.
Arsenal have won their last six games at home and by the combined total of 19-2.
At either ground on a Saturday, these are the six most recent results (most recent game first) – LLWLLW. This pattern means Forest will win.
Nottingham Forest are one of five teams yet to keep a clean sheet.
SAT 3PM – NEWCASTLE v WOLVES
With Isak now officially gone Newcastle can contrate on winning games, and what timing to play someone who hasn’t got a point yet.
Newcastle have won the last three games v Wolves and are unbeaten in seven games (W4 D3).
Newcastle have won the last four games v Wolves at home. Including the last two games by 3-0.
Three of the last five games between the sides on a Saturday have been draws.
SAT 3PM – CRYSTAL PALACE v SUNDERLAND
Anyone picking this as 6th v 8th during the season would have been laughed out of the pub. Sunderland have equaled Southampton’s win tally from last season.
Sunderland have won their last three games at Crystal Palace.
The home side (either team) have failed to win any of the last seven games (D2 L5).
SAT 3PM – EVERTON v ASTON VILLA
You’d think that if Everton had the same record as Sunderland after three games that they’d both be in the bottom three, but here they are 5th and 6th. Aston Villa will wake up soon and score you’d think.
Aston Villa (W9 L3) are undefeated in their last 12 games v Everton.
It’s W4 D2 at Everton for the last six games too.
Aston Villa have won six in a row v Everton on Saturday at any ground.
Despite scoring no goals, Aston Villa are averaging the same amount of shots per game as Liverpool.
SAT 3PM – FULHAM v LEEDS
The most Saturday 3pm clash of the week.
Fulham have won five in a row at home on a Saturday v Leeds.
Leeds’ 1.7 shots on target per game is one whole shot on target fewer than the next worst.
SAT 3PM – BOURNEMOUTH v BRIGHTON
Two surprise winners over big clubs last weekend for perennial Davids (v Goliath not the nude statue).
Brighton have won five of their last six games v Bournemouth.
Brighton have won the last two games at Bournemouth on a Saturday.
SAT 5:30PM – WEST HAM v TOTTENHAM
A very interesting London derby indeed. West Ham’s win last weekend lifts them from busted-arse manager-sacking territory to merely ordinary. Spurs lost at home to Bournemouth, which a lot fans enjoyed pointing out Spursy things.
The last three games at West Ham v Spurs have ended up 1-1.
But none of those games were on a Saturday. Because Spurs have won the last four games at West Ham on a Saturday.
Spurs have won six of the last seven games v West Ham on a Saturday at any ground.
SAT 8PM – BRENTFORD v CHELSEA
A late night kickoff for a mildly interesting West London derby.
The last three games between these sides at Brentford ended in a draw.
Brentford last beat Chelsea at home in 1938. It has been D4 L3 since.
But, Brentford are unbeaten in their last three games on a Saturday v Chelsea at either ground.
SUN 2PM – BURNLEY v LIVERPOOL
Liverpool’s team is now worth more than the town of Burnley itself. So Liverpool should win this by 24.
Liverpool have won five in a row v Burnley.
Liverpool have won six in a row at Burnley.
Liverpool have won the only two games at Burnley on a Sunday.
Liverpool have won the only two games at Liverpool on a Sunday too.
SUN 4:30PM – MAN CITY v MAN UTD
Just one win each for the Manchester sides heading into this derby, which probably isn’t as interesting as most will say it is.
Man Utd won 2-1 at Man City last season.
The other game last season was a draw.
Man Utd’s 19.3 shots per game is nearly five more than the next best team.
2025-26 Premier League Season Stats
Each week we’ll bring you the best of the stats we can be bothered compiling to help you agree or disagree with our selections.
Luckily there’s lots of them.
