And so it has come to this, the final round of the regular season where the loose ends need to be tied and the top eight wannabes getting ready to board the Finals ship. Talking of nautical, it’s fair to say that so many will like the cut of our jib and our 2025 NRL Round 27 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview.
Each week this season we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2025 NRL Round 27 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
MELBOURNE by 8
MANLY by 4
SOUTH SYDNEY by 12
PENRITH by 14
GOLD COAST by 4
BULLDOGS by 20
DOLPHINS by 34
PARRAMATTA by 40
2025 NRL Round 27 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
2025 NRL Round 27 Tips Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for you convenience and arguments.
THU – BRISBANE v MELBOURNE
Broncos have won just one of their last 18 games v Melbourne going back to 2017.
Broncos have won only one of their last 15 games at Suncorp Stadium v Melbourne going back to 2011.
Brisbane have won the most recent clash with Melbourne on a Friday at Suncorp Stadium in 2023. Overall it’s W2 L10.
It’s W4 L21 on a Friday v Melbourne anywhere.
Broncos are W3 L2 at Suncorp Stadium on a Friday this season. Melbourne have lost their only game at the ground on a Friday this season (v Dolphins).
Overall Melbourne are W11 L3 at Suncorp Stadium on a Friday.
Since Craig Bellamy took over Melbourne are W32 L5 on a Friday v Qld sides.
Melbourne are W4 L1 v Qld sides this season.
FRI – MANLY v WARRIORS
Manly have won three in a row at Brookvale v Warriors.
Manly have only lost two of their last 13 as the home side v Warriors going back to 2010. At Brookvale it is seven of the last nine.
It’s one win each at Brookvale on a Friday.
Warriors lead the Friday H2H 4-2 anywhere.
Manly have won only one of five Friday games this season but won the only home game.
Warriors have lost three in a row away on a Friday.
Warriors are W4 L1 away to Sydney teams this season.
FRI – ROOSTERS v SOUTH SYDNEY
Roosters have won four of their last five games v South Sydney at Allianz Stadium.
Roosters have never been beaten by the Rabbitohs on a Friday at Allianz Stadium (9 games).
Roosters have won 11 of their last 12 at Allianz Stadium v any team on a Friday.
Roosters have won 15 of their last 16 at Allianz Stadium v any team on a Friday v Sydney.
Souths have lost six in a row away on a Friday.
SAT – ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA v PENRITH (Win Stadium)
Penrith have won seven of the last eight games v Dragons.
Dragons lead the H2H over Penrith at WIN Stadium by 7-3. None of those games have been on a Saturday.
Dragons have won their last two games on a Saturday at WIN Stadium.
Dragons are W4 L9 on a Saturday this season.
SAT – GOLD COAST v WESTS TIGERS
Wests Tigers are the only team where the Gold Coast Titans have a >50% win percentage against (61%).
Gold Coast have won three straight home games v Wests Tigers.
Gold Coast are W1 L4 at home on a Saturday this season.
Gold Coast are W2 L7 anywhere on a Saturday this season.
Wests Tigers have won one of their last 13 away games on a Saturday but at least that win was in Queensland v Dolphins.
Wests Tigers have won just one of their eight away games v Qld sides since 2023.
SAT – BULLDOGS v CRONULLA (Olympic Stadium)
Bulldogs have won two in a row v Cronulla. Prior to that Cronulla had won six in a row.
Cronulla have won the only game between these sides on a Saturday at the Olympic Stadium.
Bulldogs have won all six Saturday games this season.
Bulldogs win % v current top eight is 50% this season, Cronulla’s is 22%.
Bulldogs win rate v current top eight sides at home is 75%, Cronulla’s away win % v current top eight sides in 2025 is 0%.
SUN – DOLPHINS v CANBERRA (Dolphin Oval)
Dolphins won the first game v Canberra but have lost three in a row since.
Canberra lost their first two away games this season but have won eight of their last nine since.
Canberra are W4 L1 away on a Sunday this season.
Dolphins have won their last two home games on a Sunday.
It’s W1 L1 at Redcliffe on a Sunday for the Dolphins.
It’s W4 L3 at Redcliffe on any day for the Dolphins.
Dolphins have a 36% win rate this season v current top eight sides.
SUN – PARRAMATTA v NEWCASTLE
Parramatta have won seven of their last eight v Newcastle.
Parramatta have won four Sunday games in a row v Newcastle, but the games have been in Newcastle and Rockhampton.
Parramatta have won the only two games at CommBank Stadium v Newcastle.
Newcastle have lost all eight games this season on a Sunday.
2025 NRL Season Stats
The best of the stats from the season that has been so you can try and guess the rest of the season that will be.
