Just two rounds to go and still so much to sort out and like throwing confetti out of a window you just don’t know where it is all going to land. Talking of parties, our 2025 NRL Round 26 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview is going to party like it’s 1999, which probably means Melbourne will win the comp. At least it would make Craig Bellamy happy. Maybe.
Each week this season we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2025 NRL Round 26 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
PENRITH by 4
PARRAMATTA by 8
MELBOURNE by 16
CANBERRA by 24
ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA by 2
BRISBANE by 12
CRONULLA by 20
DOLPHINS by 16
2025 NRL Round 26 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
2025 NRL Round 26 Tips Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for you convenience and arguments.
THU – BULLDOGS v PANTHERS (Olympic Stadium)
Penrith have won eight in a row v Bulldogs, with a last loss in 2019.
Bulldogs have won three of the last five games at the Olympic Stadium though.
H2H on a Thursday is Penrith two wins and Bulldogs one.
Bulldogs have lost all three games on a Thursday this season, which includes a loss to the Panthers.
Penrith aren’t much better than the Bulldogs on a Thursday this season with their only win in five games being against the Bulldogs.
So between the Bulldogs and Panthers there’s just one win in eight games combined on a Thursday, and one game was them playing each other.
In a mirror of the 2024 season, Penrith lost to Melbourne in Round 24, then Canberra in Round 25. That ended up pretty well for Penrith from memory.
FRI – WARRIORS v PARRAMATTA
Parramatta have won five of the last six games v Warriors. But so had the Gold Coast before last weekend too.
Parramatta have won all three games v Warriors at Mt Smart Stadium on a Friday.
Parramatta have won five of the six games played v Warriors on a Friday anywhere.
Warriors are W3 L1 at Mt Smart on a Friday this season.
It’s W4 L1 on a Friday anywhere, with the other game being in Christchurch.
Parramatta have won their last three Friday games, two of them away.
Parramatta have won three of 11 away games this season, but two of the wins were on a Friday.
FRI – MELBOURNE v ROOSTERS
Melbourne have won seven in a row v Roosters and 12 of the last 13.
Melbourne have won four in a row at home v Roosters.
The H2H on a Friday at AAMI Park is 3-2 to the Storm.
Melbourne have won eight in a row on a Friday at home with a last loss in 2023 at Marvel Stadium.
Melbourne have won 15 of their last 16 at AAMI Park on a Friday.
Roosters are W5 L5 on a Friday this season and W2 L4 away on a Friday.
Melbourne lead the competition for winning against top eight sides (top eight art time of fixture) with a W5 L3 record.
Roosters vs top half record is W4 L7.
SAT – CANBERRA v WESTS TIGERS
Canberra have won 13 of their last 15 games v Wests Tigers.
Canberra have won their last four home games v Tigers, conceding exactly 12 points in three of those games.
Canberra have won five in a row on a Saturday v Tigers with a last loss in 2014.
Canberra are W6 L1 for home games on a Saturday v Wests Tigers.
Canberra are W3 L1 at home on a Saturday this season.
Wests Tigers have won one game in their last 12 away games on a Saturday.
Canberra are 9/9 for games v bottom half sides at home this season. Wests Tigers are 0/5 v top half teams away. (Top/Bottom Half at tiem of fixture not current ladder).
SAT – ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA v MANLY (Kogarah)
The last time a team won both of these games in a season was 2017.
St George Illawarra have won their last two and seven of the nine games v Manly at Kogarah.
St George Illawarra have won the only game between these sides at Kogarah on a Saturday. (2012)
St George Illawarra are W2 L2 on a Saturday at Kogarah this season.
The Dragons have won their last two Saturday games, both at home. Overall in 2025 their Saturday record anywhere is W4 L8.
Manly’s Saturday record this season is W6 L2. The wins and losses are the same home and away but Manly have won three Saturday away games in a row.
SAT – NORTH QUEENSLAND v BRISBANE
Brisbane have won five in a row v Cowboys. Two of those were in Townsville on a Saturday.
Overall it is Broncos nine wins vs Cowboys six wins in Townsville on a Saturday.
Brisbane are 5/5 v Qld teams this season.
Cowboys are W2 L3 v Qld teams this season with both wins v Titans.
North Qld are W1 L4 for their last five Saturday games v Qld sides.
North Qld (W1 D1 L5) have won one of their last seven on a Saturday.
Brisbane have lost four in a row on a Saturday away from home.
SUN – CRONULLA v NEWCASTLE
Cronulla have won five of their last six v Newcastle.
The only loss for Cronulla at home in the last eight games v Newcastle was in Redcliffe.
Cronulla have won nine of their last 11 games v Newcastle on a Sunday.
Cronulla have won six in a row on Sunday.
Newcastle have lost all seven Sunday games this season.
SUN – DOLPHINS v GOLD COAST (Suncorp Stadium)
Dolphins lead the Titans H2H 4-1, but the only loss is at Suncorp Stadium.
Gold Coast have lost all five games v Qld sides this season.
Dolphins have won only one of their last seven Sunday games.
Dolphins’ Sunday record at Suncorp Stadium is W4 L3.
Gold Coast are W5 L1 v Qld sides at Suncorp Stadium on a Sunday.
2025 NRL Season Stats
The best of the stats from the season that has been so you can try and guess the rest of the season that will be.
