The new Premier League season isn’t far away, and every man, woman, and where talent permits, dog, will have their thoughts on who will win anything and everything this season. Our website is no different, so we offer up our 2025-26 Premier League Season Predictions.
This is the first in what will be a hastily arranged series of Season Previews, and our yearly We Told You So attempt features as many stats as we could arrange from last season and beyond, with various calculations to allow for promotion and relegation, using on and off field stats.
There’s last season’s stats for the whole season, and more recent time periods to allow for teams that were improving or not towards the end of the season, overall season performance for the last three seasons, team stats (All from Who Scored) , transfer market values and changes from TransferMarkt, xG, and not much more.
All of the stats are rolled up into order, and our Premier League winners and losers explained below.
And if you want to see our 2025-26 English Football League Season Predictions, please feel free to do so here.
2025-26 Premier League Season Predictions
WINNERS
It seems pretty simple. Last year’s winners Liverpool have gone berserk in the Transfer Market, so should be even better, so should win the title again. Simples. But life usually isn’t that simple, and no doubt reality will pull down the pants of our prediction model, but then we can blame all the stats. So Liverpool it is to win another title to the lack of joy of most other Premier League fans.
Most people would agree that last season’s Man City team was one of the worst this decade, and maybe even further back. That’s a bit unfair, the team wasn’t too bad, it’s just they lost a lot of games. You presume they won’t slip up again so badly in 2025-26. But our stats say improvement is not enough to overtake Liverpool. It may depends on how fit Haaland is during the season.
Arsenal fans moaning about always coming second recently will be happy to know our predictions has them coming third. It still means they can ignore the cup competitions and get knocked out after the first knockout stage of Champions League. So almost business as usual.
Fourth may be a surprise with our stats saying Aston Villa’s Villa-ness is better than Chelsea’s mega spend. Maybe our stats aren’t fooled by many seasons of Chelsea overspend and under-deliver. Still fourth and fifth should be good enough for Europe and our season ratings were almost identical for these two sides.
Our stats say wins for Brighton who will make European football, and Newcastle hold onto a top six position, so a win for those clubs.
Winners list includes Crystal Palace who break out of the midfield into the top ten.
Same for Leeds, who our stats say are going to be the first promoted club to stay up in three seasons.
LOSERS
Promoted sides have not gone very well in the past few Premier League season, and there’s little to suggest that they will survive again this season. Sunderland in particular had a very low rating for this season, and maybe it has something to do with red and white striped kits. After Southampton and Sheffield United have been relegated in consecutive seasons.
Our stats say Burnley will continue their yo-yoing between the top two tiers, which we guess is better than doing it once and disappearing.
But as alluded to in the winners column, not all promoted teams will be relegated this season. Instead of Leeds our stats say West Ham are going down. That seems harsh, but you just never know with West Ham and Graham Potter in no particular order. If Jarrod Bowen gets injured it could be trouble.
Talking of trouble, Premier League mainstays Brentford and Bournemouth flirt with trouble this season according to our stats, finishing fourth and fifth last. Losing key players and in one case a key manager is trouble.
Rounding out the losers list is Spurs and Manchester United, who despite changing managers and players in various cases, can’t turn around their woeful Premier League campaigns that quickly.
