Just six rounds to go and still so much yet to be decided – top four, top eight, bottom one. Talking of a six pack, our 2025 NRL Round 21 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview is here and is a more tin of beer than a well sculpted stomach.
Each week this season we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2025 NRL Round 21 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
MELBOURNE by 10
NORTH QLD by 8
BRISBANE by 20
GOLD COAST by 2
PENRITH by 4
CRONULLA by 12
CANBERRA by 18
MANLY by 2
2025 NRL Round 21 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
2025 NRL Round 21 Tips Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for you convenience and arguments.
Thu – ROOSTERS v MELBOURNE
Melbourne have won six in a row v Roosters and 11 of their last 12 matches.
It’s five in a row on the road too.
Better still, Melbourne have never lost to the Roosters on a Thursday (five games).
Melbourne have won 11 of their last 12 Thursday games and seven straight v Sydney teams.
They are less better v Sydney teams away this season on all days – W2 L2.
Roosters have won one of their last six at home on a Thursday v non-Sydney clubs.
It’s not much better on other days with just five wins in 14 games at home v non-Sydney clubs at home.
Fri – NORTH QUEENSLAND v ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA
North Qld have won five in a row v Dragons.
It’s W12 L4 at home to the Dragons.
It’s three wins each for Cowboys v Dragons on a Friday.
North Queensland have won their last two games at home on a Friday. But overall their Friday home form is patchy. Since 2020 it is W6 L8.
Dragons have lost seven away games in a row on a Friday.
It could be worse. The Dragons have won five of their last 35 away games on a Friday going back to 2011.
Dragons have won one of their last ten away games on a Friday v Qld sides.
Fri – BRISBANE v PARRAMATTA
Brisbane have won four games straight v Parramatta on a Friday. The last four games have all been played on a Friday.
Broncos are W6 L3 on a Friday at Suncorp Stadium v Parramatta.
Brisbane have won just five of their last 14 home games on a Friday to Sydney sides since 2020.
Parramatta have lost four away games in a row.
It’s also four games in a row away v Qld sides.
Parramatta have lost all nine games v top eight sides this season. (Top eight at the time of fixture).
Broncos are only W5 L4 v bottom half sides this season. . (Bottom half at the time of fixture).
Sat – WAHS v GOLD COAST
Gold Coast have won five of their last six v Warriors.
Gold Coast have won their last two games v Warriors, and scored exactly 27 points in both of those games.
Warriors have won their last four home games v Qld sides on a Saturday.
Gold Coast have lost their last seven away games on a Saturday.
Going back to 2022, the Titans are W7 L27 on the road outside of Qld.
Sat – PENRITH v WESTS TIGERS (CommBank)
The last nine games for the Panthers v Wests Tigers – results follow this pattern. Most recent game first – WWLWWLWWL. So a loss is due.
Panthers are 3/3 v Tigers at CommBank Stadium.
Wests Tigers have won four of the last seven clashes v Penrith on a Saturday.
But Penrith have won their last five games at CommBank Stadium this season.
Wests Tigers have won one of their last ten away games on a Saturday.
Wests Tigers have won one of their last 11 away games on a Saturday v Sydney sides.
Sat – SOUTH SYDNEY v CRONULLA (Gosford)
Cronulla have won four in a row v South Sydney. All those four games were on a Saturday.
Souths are W8 L9 at Central Coast Stadium. Cronulla are W4 L3.
Souths have at least won their last three Saturday games at Central Coast Stadium.
Souths have lost their last five Saturday games.
Cronulla have won one of their last five away games on a Saturday.
Sun – CANBERRA v NEWCASTLE
Canberra have won eight games in a row coming into this game. They have a couple of wins to go to match their most recent long streak of ten wins in 2016.
Newcastle have won their last two visits to Canberra and won four of their last five.
Newcastle have won seven of their last nine v Canberra on a Sunday.
Canberra have won seven games in a row on a Sunday and their last five home games on a Sunday.
Canberra have won all four home games v non-Sydney teams this season.
Newcastle have lost all four Sunday games this season.
Sun – BULLDOGS v MANLY (Allianz)
Manly have won four in a row v Bulldogs and ten of the last 11 match ups.
Manly have also won five in a row v Bulldogs on a Sunday.
Bulldogs have won the only game between these sides at Allianz Stadium – 18-17 in 2014.
Bulldogs have won one of their last six at Allianz Stadium. Manly have lost their last four.
Manly have won seven of their last nine v Sydney teams away on a Sunday.
Bulldogs have won two of their last 12 home games v Sydney clubs on a Sunday.
2025 NRL Season Stats
The best of the stats from the season that has been.
