Proper NRL is back and State of Origin is done and dusted for another year with Queensland back in winner’s circle and NSW being accused again of not getting Origin. Talking of not getting anything, our 2025 NRL Round 20 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview is here and probably won’t get you anything more than a solid five out of eight this weekend.
Each week this season we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2025 NRL Round 20 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
DOLPHINS by 6
CRONULLA by 2
PENRITH by 20
CANBERRA by 10
BULLDOGS by 14
MANLY by 4
GOLD COAST By 8
WARRIORS by 4
2025 NRL Round 20 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
2025 NRL Round 20 Tips Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for you convenience and arguments.
Thu – DOLPHINS v NORTH QUEENSLAND (Suncorp)
The away team has won all five clashes between the Dolphins and Cowboys.
Dolphins are W7 L2 on a Thursday and have won four in a row as the home side on a Thursday.
Dolphins are W8 L7 in their history so far v Qld sides but at Suncorp Stadium it is W2 L6.
Cowboys have won six of their last right games on a Thursday and five of their last six away on a Thursday.
Fri – CRONULLA v ROOSTERS
Roosters have won nine of the last 11 games v Cronulla.
Cronulla have won once in their last six games v Roosters at Shark Park but are W4 L1 on a Friday there v Roosters.
Cronulla have won eight games in a row at Shark Park on a Friday and 11 of their last 12.
Cronulla’s Friday night record overall is pretty handy too, they have won 12 of their last 14 Friday games anywhere v anyone. Plus 7/8 v Sydney teams.
Roosters are W2 L3 away from home on a Friday this season.
Going back to 2020, the Roosters are W4 L15 on a Friday away to Sydney clubs.
Fri – PENRITH v SOUTHS (CommBank)
Souths have won two of the last three clashes v Penrith away from Penrith Stadium.
Penrith have won three in a row v Souths on a Friday and conceded exactly 12 points in all three games.
Penrith have lost both of their Friday games this season, both at CommBank Stadium.
Souths have a great record at CommBank Stadium, winning ten of their last 12 games. Their overall win rate at the ground of 67% is better than Penrith’s 59%. And have won their last four at the ground on a Friday.
Souths have lost six games in a row coming into this game, and a loss will hand them the season’s worst losing streak alone.
Good news is Souths are W3 L2 on a Friday this season.
Sat – CANBERRA v PARRAMATTA
Canberra have won three in a row v Parramatta and last lost in 2022.
Canberra have won 15 of their last 18 home games v Parramatta and seven of their last eight on a Saturday.
Canberra are W3 L2 on a Saturday this season. Parramatta are W1 L2.
Canberra have won their last four games v Sydney clubs.
Canberra’s current winning streak of seven is the season’s best. If they lose, Melbourne can equal it this weekend.
Parramatta have lost five in a row on a Saturday away from home.
Canberra by 14
Sat – BULLDOGS v ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA (Accor)
Bulldogs have won four in a row v Dragons and the last two at the Olympic Stadium and the last three on a Saturday.
Bulldogs have won all four Saturday games this season.
Bulldogs loss v Penrith a few rounds ago was their first loss to a Sydney side this season (8 games in 2025).
St George Illawarra have won just two of their last 15 games v Sydney clubs and one of their last eight away from home. Same 1/8 on a Saturday too.
The Dragons have won two of their last 12 on a Saturday v any team.
Dragons are 1/9 v Top Half opposition (top half at time of fixture).
Since we started monitoring Top/Bottom half at time of fixture in 2022, the Dragons W2 L17 away to top half clubs.
Bulldogs by 12
Sat – MELBOURNE v MANLY
Manly have won three of the past five games v Melbourne, but all of those wins were at Brookvale.
Melbourne have won four in a row at home to Manly, but two of those wins were at Sunshine Coast Stadium.
The H2H at AAMI Park is Melbourne 6 Manly 4. It’s 3-3 on a Saturday.
Melbourne are vulnerable to Sydney teams at AAMI Park on a Saturday. Since 2018 their record is W6 L7. Over that same period the record is W11 L11 v all teams at the ground on a Saturday.
But, Melbourne have won 26 of their last 29 homes matches at AAMI Park going back to 2023.
Manly are W2 L5 away from home this season but have won their last two on a Saturday.
Manly are undefeated (W4 D1) in their last five away games on a Saturday v non-Sydney teams.
Manly have also only lost two of their last 17 away games on a Saturday v non-Sydney teams.
Manly by 2
Sun – WESTS TIGERS v GOLD COAST (Leichhardt)
The Wests Tigers is Gold Coast’s best opposition for win rate at 63%. They have a win rate of worse than 50% against every other side.
Note: our records only go back to 1998, and the Chargers record v Adelaide Rams was 50%.
Gold Coast have won 10 of their last 13 games v Wests Tigers. Although, the Tigers won the last match, which was at Leichhardt.
Overall the Titans are up 4-2 in H2H at Leichhardt.
Gold Coast have beaten the Tigers in their last three Sunday clashes.
Wests Tigers have won three of the 22 home matches on a Sunday since 2022 at Leicchardt it’s W1 L5 over theat same period but they at least won the most recent match.
Going back to 2022, the Gold Coast have won four of 22 matches away to Sydney clubs. It’s W1 L11 on a Sunday away over the same period. It’s 1/16 away on a Sunday over the same period at any ground other than Suncorp Stadium.
Sun – NEWCASTLE v WAHS
Newcastle have won four home games in a row v Warriors and the last three at home on a Sunday.
Newcastle have lost both of their Sunday home games this season. And the only away game on a Sunday.
Newcastle have also lost all three home games v Non-Sydney teams.
Newcastle are W2 L7 at home last season, and their most recent win and first since their first home game in 2025, is where the fans booed at half time.
Warriors are W2 L2 away from home on a Sunday this season, but have at least won both of the games in NSW.
Warriors have won five in a row away to NSW clubs in NSW.
2025 NRL Season Stats
The best of the stats from the season that has been.
I agree for the tips