Another Origin affected round where because the game is in Perth, it’s going to be a waiting game to see who is in and out this week to play, which is a pretty stupid way to run a sporting competition. Talking of ins and out and up and downs, our 2025 NRL Round 16 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview could go in any direction. And probably will.
Each week this season we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2025 NRL Round 16 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
CANBERRA by 8
WARRIORS by 2
DOLPHINS by 4
MELBOURNE by 10
CRONULLA by 8
NORTH QUEENSLAND by 6
PARRAMATTA by 4
2025 NRL Round 16 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
2025 NRL Round 16 Tips Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
FRI – WESTS TIGERS v CANBERRA (Campbelltown)
Wests Tigers won the last time these teams met, which was also in Campbelltown, and the Tigers won 48-24, which broke a run of eight straight losses v Canberra.
Overall the Tigers lead Canberra 8-5 in the H2H at Campbelltown, but Canberra have won three of the last four.
Canberra have won the only game at Campbelltown on a Friday v Tigers by 1 point in 2023.
Tigers have lost both their home games v Canberra on a Friday at any ground.
Wests Tigers have lost 11 games in a row on a Friday, and last won in May 2022.
Wests Tigers have also lost eight in a row at Campbelltown on a Friday, with a last win in 2010.
Canberra have won their last four away games on a Friday v Sydney teams.
SAT – WAHS v PENRITH
The Warriors last start win over Penrith at Magic Round broke a run of eight straight losses to Penrith.
The Warriors haven’t played Penrith at Mt Smart Stadium since 2019.
The Warriors have won the last two games v Penrith on a Saturday at Mt Smart Stadium.
Closer to this decade, the Warriors have lost just one of their seven games at Mt Smart Stadium on a Saturday since 2023 – W5 D1 L1.
Penrith (D1 L2) have failed to win their last three games on a Saturday.
Penrith have won only one of their five games v non NSW teams this season – W1 D1 L3.
SAT – DOLPHINS v NEWCASTLE (Perth)
Dolphins have lost both of their games in Perth. But at least there have been 132 points scored in those two matches and the average margin of loss is four points.
Newcastle won the game v Dolphins in Perth in 2023.
Newcastle are on a four game winning streak v Dolphins. Which is the Dolphins worst current losing streak v any NRL side.
Ouch. The Dolphins have lost all seven games as the away side in a game not in Qld on a Saturday.
Newcastle have won only two of their last 17 away games v Qld sides. Granted all but one of those were in Queensland, and the one in Perth has already been discussed. But Perth is further from Newcastle than Brisbane so the stat is still good. Or we’ll see.
Newcastle have won eight of their last 12 away games on a Saturday.
SAT – SOUTHS v MELBOURNE (Accor)
South Sydney’s record v Melbourne is the worst in the NRL of current teams.
Souths have won once from their last six home games v Melbourne.
But Souths have won the last two games v Melbourne on a Saturday.
Souths have lost six of their last seven games on a Saturday.
Melbourne have lost both of their Saturday games v Sydney clubs in Sydney this season.
Melbourne have won only ten of their last 21 Saturday games v Sydney clubs.
SUN – BRISBANE v CRONULLA
Brisbane have won five in a row at home on a Sunday to Cronulla.
Brisbane have lost their last three home games on a Sunday.
Brisbane have lost their last six games anywhere on a Sunday with a last win in 2022.
Brisbane have lost their last seven day games.
Cronulla have won 11 of their last 14 day games.
Cronulla have won their last three games v Qld sides.
Cronulla have won six of their last seven away games v Qld sides.
Cronulla have won three in a row at Suncorp Stadium. Yet they have lost their last six at the same ground on a Sunday.
SUN – ROOSTERS v NORTH QLD
North Queensland have won the last two games v Roosters. Plus the last three games on a Sunday.
The Roosters have won just one of their last five at the Sydney Football Stadium on a Sunday v Qld sides. It’s only three wins from the last eight v all sides on a Sunday there too.
North Queensland have won their last three Sunday games.
North Queensland have won eight of their last ten games away to Sydney teams on a Sunday.
SUN – PARRAMATTA v GOLD COAST
Parramatta have lost their last seven games on a Sunday. Gold Coast have also lost their last seven games on a Sunday.
Parramatta have lost five games in a row v Qld sides. But that improves to winning four of their last five on a Sunday v Qld sides.
Gold Coast have lost six in a row away to a Sydney team on a Sunday.
Going back to 2019, Gold Coast have won once in 13 games v Sydney clubs away in NSW.
Parramatta have won five home games in a row v Gold Coast.
