November 19, 2025, 4:27 am

NRL | 2025 NRL Round 11 Ratings and Late Mail

Been too distracted by someone offering you a lunch of mushrooms? Or whether Dom Young is the Roosters or Newcastle’s problem? So do you need some last-minute NRL tipping advice? Want something else to blame when the tips go wrong? Well then saddle up for The Gurgler’s NRL Round 11 Ratings and Late Mail.

In a new additional to our stable of NRL stats and tipping products, we have used all the stats we have, smashed them against each other like atoms, and come up with a H2H rating.

It includes this year’s form with a bias because it is this year, but we don’t forget historic stats of the H2H against this week’s opponents, and the ground and day the teams are playing on. Then slice up the scores out of 100% between the two sides. The bigger the percentage, the more likely to win.

2025 NRL Round 11 Ratings

Here are the H2H ratings and winner for Magic Round of the NRL.

Our ratings picked a just half the winners last weekend but almost picked the Cowboys-Panthers draw. We’re one week closer to perfection. So don’t miss out.

2025 NRL Round 11 Ratings

2025 NRL Round 11 Late Mail

NEWCASTLE v PARRAMATTA

There was an upside to Parramatta’s loss last weekend, and they looked the better side for a lot of the game. Newcastle were only better for a half and that is debatable. Greg Marzhew is out for the Knights and Zac Lomax is in for the Eels tipping the ratings towards Parramatta. Moses will also want to be in Origin mode, so extra motivation coming.

BULLDOGS v ROOSTERS

Not sure if the best preparation for a game against the barnstorming competition leaders at a ground where your record isn’t great is to have a press conference bagging other clubs about a player you want to get rid of. Bulldogs are flying, not letting an ordinary first half stop them. A terrible recent H2H record v Roosters has the ratings swinging towards the Roosters in a classic form v history battle. Lindsay Collins looking for an Origin gig returning helps the Roosters.

DOLPHINS v WARRIORS

A home team classic so far with the away team losing all four matches. Outside of Magic Round, the Warriors have an ordinary record at Suncorp Stadium and away to Qld teams in general. Dolphins are W4 L1 at Suncorp on a Saturday, and welcome back Tom Gilbert and Jeremy Marshall-King. Even better, Ray Stone is named at lock. Warriors beware of the Tenderiser.

NORTH QUEENSLAND v MANLY

Manly have a great record in Townsville v North Queensland and throw in seven wins in a row v Qld sides on a Saturday. Although a lot of them were v North Qld. Halfbacks are a concern for both sides……the exciting Jaxon Purdue has replaced the luckless Jake Clifford. While it sounds like a lot people at Manly would like to see DCE replaced. Word on the street is he’s heading to the Roosters this season. 

CRONULLA v MELBOURNE

Harry Grant looks set to return which is a huge boost for Melbourne. Not that they need too many boosts after their 64-0 thrashing of the Wests Tigers last weekend. Cronulla’s record v Melbourne isn’t great, they have won two of their last nine v Melbourne. It gets worse on a Saturday with just one win in 11 Saturday games v Melbourne. But Cronulla have won their last three at Shark Park v Storm. And Siosifa Talakai returning should be fun.

BRONCOS v ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA

Both these teams have terrible records on a Sunday. Throw in the Broncos have lost six in a row for day games. But the Broncos do welcome back Ezra Mam at the expense of a conveniently injured Ben Hunt. The hard working Jack de Belin returns for the Dragons and while he has less razzle dazzle than Ezra Mam, he’s a vital cog for the Dragons. Who do have the H2H recently with seven wins in the last nine games.

CANBERRA v GOLD COAST

No one expected the Gold Coast to win last weekend at Newcastle. No one expected the Raiders to lose at half time last weekend. One wonders if the energy and events of those two games will feed into this week’s game and the Gold Coast can enjoy a rare success v Canberra. Canberra have won ten of their last 11 v Gold Coast. Gold Coast have lost nine games in a row away on a Sunday in games outside of Qld and won just one of their last 17.

WESTS TIGERS v SOUTH SYDNEY

Souths have a great recent record v Wests Tigers – they have won eight of their last ten games v Wests Tigers and have won six in a row v Wests Tigers on a Sunday. But the Tigers got the win last season. Wests Tigers have a bad record at Campbelltown, and on a Sunday and against Sydney teams there, so this game is a bad one per stats. Alex Johnston also returns for Souths on the wing, and will be hoping for last weekend’s Latrell Mitchell to turn up, and with Origin within reach you can’t see why not.

2025 NRL Round 10 Review + Round 11 Preview

Here’s the best of our wrap ups of last weekend and look forward to this weekend.

NRL ROUND 11 TIPS AND STATS
NRL ROUND 11 – NRL DONKEY EXPERT TIPS AND OPINION
NRL STATS EXTRA – THE RAY STONE CORNERSTONE
NRL ROUND 10 TEAM OF THE WEEK
NRL ROUND 10 STATS n STUFF 
NRL ROUND 10 DOLPHINS v PARRAMATTA

 

2025 NRL Season Stats So Far

And if you don’t believe our ratings, then help yourself to a bunch of stats from the 2025 NRL season.

Here’s the best of the NRL Team Stats from last weekend.

   

READ MORE: THE GURGLER’S 2025 NRL SEASON SPECIALS

NRL 2025 BOLD PREDICTIONS

NRL 2025 SEASON LADDER PREDICTIONS

WOODEN SPOONERS 2025 NRL HEADLINES

WHY YOUR TEAM CAN’T WIN THE NRL 2025 PREMIERSHIP

2025 NRL JERSEYS RATINGS

2025 NRL DRAW ANALYSIS

 

 

 

 

Max Laynehttps://www.thegurgler.com
Max has no time for long bios, he has only time for sport and then more sport. Each week he tries to sum up what sport has tickled the collective fancy of The Gurgler.

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