With the fun of Magic Round done and dusted it is time to get serious as the State of Origin series and the NRL’s hibernation isn’t far away, so we have to enjoy these full rounds with all players available while they are still available. Talking of Origin Bolters, our 2025 NRL Round 10 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview are being thrown around the selection tables in someone’s house somewhere.
Each week this season we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2025 NRL Round 10 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
2025 NRL Magic Round Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
2025 NRL Round 10 Tips Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
PARRAMATTA v DOLPHINS
Both of the games between these two sides have been at non regular grounds.
Dolphins have a decent 5/7 strike rate on a Thursday, that shrinks to W1 L1 away.
Dolphins are on a five game losing streak away to Sydney clubs.
Dolphins have lost both of their games at CommBank Stadium.
Parramatta are W6 L8 at home at CommBank Stadium since the start of 2024. On a Thursday since 2022 that improves to W3 L3.
Parramatta have lost four in a row v Qld sides.
NEWCASTLE v GOLD COAST
Newcastle have won seven straight at home to the Gold Coast.
Of the last 15 games between these sides, going back to 2017, the home side (either team) has won 14 times.
The two games between these sides on a Friday has also been won by the home side.
Newcastle have won their last three home matches v Qld opposition and since 2018 have won 15/18.
Since 2021, the Titans have lost 11/14 Friday games.
Since 2022, the Titans have won just four of their last 24 away games to NSW clubs.
SOUTHS v BRISBANE
Since 2019, these teams have alternated winning the games played on Friday, regardless of venue.
Since 2023, the Broncos have actually won eight of their last nine away games on a Friday. Their only loss was against Souths.
South Sydney have won four of their last five home games on a Friday.
CANBERRA v BULLDOGS
Prior to the Bulldogs’ last start win over Canberra, the Raiders had won nine straight.
Canberra have beaten the Bulldogs at home for six straight games with a last loss coming in 2015.
These two teams have only played in Canberra on a Saturday twice since 1998, and wins are shared.
Canberra’s home form in Canberra on a Saturday is patchy with 12 wins in 23 matches since 2020.
Bulldogs are W8 L3 on a Saturday since 2024.
Bulldogs have won their last four away games on a Saturday.
ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA v WAHS
While the Warriors have won three of their last five away games v St George Illawarra, overall since 1998 their record is W4 L14. It’s 2/13 at Win Stadium.
The Warriors last start win at Win Stadium v the Dragons on a Saturday in 2018 is their only win there and then in seven games.
Warriors away form on a Saturday since 2023 is W6 L7.
Since 2023, the Dragons have won seven home games at Win Stadium out of 15 matches.
St George Illawarra have won seven of their last eight games v non NSW sides.
NORTH QUEENSLAND v PENRITH
The Cowboys are W2 L2 at their new stadium v Penrith.
Of the 15 home games at the Cowboys new stadium on a Saturday v Sydney clubs, they have won five.
Penrith are W1 L3 away this season. Although their win at Magic is geographically an away game.
Since 2020, Penrith have won 18 of their 21 away games on a Saturday.
MELBOURNE v WESTS TIGERS
Melbourne have won five straight and 10/11 home games at AAMI Park on a Sunday.
Melbourne are W17 L4 at AAMI Park on a Sunday v Sydney teams.
Melbourne are the leading team for scoring points at home on a Sunday with 28.5
Melbourne have won seven straight v Wests Tigers.
Melbourne have won 15/17 home games v Wests Tigers.
Storm have won the only game at AAMI Park v Tigers on a Sunday.
Wests Tigers are 2/2 away on a Sunday this season. Prior to that it was 11 straight losses.
MANLY v CRONULLA
Cronulla have won five of their last six games v Manly.
If you take out Cronulla, Manly have won 12 of their last 13 home games on a Sunday.
Cronulla have lost both of their Sunday games v Sydney clubs this season.
2025 NRL Season Stats So Far
Here’s the best of the NRL Team Stats from last weekend.
2025 NRL Season Preview Stuff
We’ve done a lot of stuff ahead of the new NRL season, and here it all is.
READ MORE: THE GURGLER’S 2025 NRL SEASON SPECIALS
NRL 2025 SEASON LADDER PREDICTIONS
WOODEN SPOONERS 2025 NRL HEADLINES
WHY YOUR TEAM CAN’T WIN THE NRL 2025 PREMIERSHIP
