How good is The Bunker? Talking of April Fools, our 2025 NRL Round 5 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview may be just kidding if all our tips end up all wrong come the end of the weekend. Which given current form, is a chance.
Each week this season we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.
2025 NRL Round 5 Tips
Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.
READ MORE: Our 2025 Match Centre Home
2025 NRL Round 5 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary Cheat Sheets
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.
Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
2025 NRL Round 5 Tips Weekly Barely Interesting Stats
Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.
CANBERRA v CRONULLA
Cronulla are on a three game winning streak v Canberra.
Canberra have won the only Thursday game between these sides. Canberra are W2 L2 at home on a Thursday. Cronulla are W4 L4 away on a Thursday.
PENRITH v NORTH QUEENSLAND
Penrith have won just two of their last five v Cowboys and lost the game in Penrith last season.
Overall on a Friday the Cowboys lead the H2H by 4-3, but that changes to 2-1 for Penrith in Penrith on a Friday.
Noted that this game is at CommBank Stadium.
North Queensland have won just three of their last 19 away games on a Friday, and eight of their last nine away on a Friday v Sydney sides.
Since 2020, Penrith have won 21 of their last 25 games v Qld clubs.
SOUTH SYDNEY v ROOSTERS
South have lost four in a row to the Roosters. And five in a row on a Friday.
At home it is W4 L7 on a Friday for Souths v Roosters and overall since 1998 it’s W10 L16.
Since 2020 the Roosters are W2 L5 at the Olympic Stadium.
PARRAMATTA v ST GEORGE ILLAWARRA
Parramatta have won 12 of their last 15 v Dragons.
Parramatta have won 10 of their last 12 home games v Dragons.
Parramatta have won all six home games v Dragons on a Saturday since 1999.
Parramatta won three from four home games on a Saturday last season.
Dragons have lost four in a row on a Saturday to Sydney teams and won just one of their last nine away on a Saturday v Sydney teams.
GOLD COAST V DOLPHINS
Dolphins are undefeated v Titans on the Gold Coast in two starts.
Dolphins’ chances of making the finals are extremely slim after starting 0-4.
Dolphins have won just three of 11 away games on a Saturday.
Dolphins are four wins from four games away to Qld sides that aren’t the Broncos.
Dolphins are W4 L1 v Qld sides away, when the games isn’t at Suncorp Stadium.
Gold Coast have won their last four home games on a Saturday.
Gold Coast have won just three of 12 home games on a Saturday v Qld sides.
BRISBANE v WESTS TIGERS
Broncos have won just one of their last four home games v Wests Tigers. It’s a more solid W5 L2 v Tigers at home on a Saturday. It’s an even better W10 L2 on a Saturday anywhere v Tigers on a Saturday.
Broncos have lost their last three home games on a Saturday.
The Tigers win at Redcliffe in Round 3 was their first away win on a Saturday in nine games.
MANLY v MELBOURNE
Manly have won three straight over Melbourne at Brookvale.
Melbourne have won the last three matches v Manly on a Sunday.
Manly have won 11 of their last 13 games at home on a Sunday.
Manly have won six in a row at home to non-Sydney clubs.
Since 2011, Manly have won 16 of their last 18 homes games on a Sunday to non-Sydney clubs.
Melbourne played one away game on a Sunday in 2023 and 2024, and lost both.
BULLDOGS v NEWCASTLE
Since 2011, Bulldogs have five of 23 home games on a Sunday.
Newcastle have not had a consecutive result across 11 games at the Olympic Stadium on a Sunday.
Newcastle lost all four away games on a Sunday in 2024 v Sydney opposition.
2025 NRL Season Stats So Far
Here’s the best of the NRL Team Stats from last weekend.
2025 NRL Round 4 Bonus Stats
We did this after Round 3, but well worth dead-horse flogging here again.
HOW DO TEAMS END UP THAT WIN/LOSE ALL THEIR FIRST FOUR GAMES?
Last week in our Round 3 Stats and Results roundup we looked into the end season result after losing or winning the first three games. So why not do it for four games in a row too.
TEAM THAT HAVE WON THEIR FIRST FOUR GAMES (14 teams since 2013)
- All but one team made the finals
- There have only been three Premiers.
- The average finishing position is 4.4.
- Six teams made the top four.
- The only side to miss the finals was Newcastle who won all four games in 2015, then ended up finishing dead last, winning only four more games for the season.
TEAM THAT HAVE LOST THEIR FIRST FOUR GAMES (13 teams since 2013)
- The average finishing position in 13.3.
- Six of the teams finished last.
- Just two made the finals. Manly made the top 4 in 2021.
2025 teams excluded as no end of season result known, yet.
2025 NRL Round 4 Review
Here’s the best of our wrap ups of Round 4.
NRL ROUND 4 STATS AND RESULTS
NRL ROUND 4 TEAM OF THE WEEK
NRL ONE MINUTE MATCH REPORT – DOLPHINS v BRONCOS
2025 NRL Season Preview Stuff
We’ve done a lot of stuff ahead of the new NRL season, and here it all is.
READ MORE: THE GURGLER’S 2025 NRL SEASON SPECIALS
NRL 2025 SEASON LADDER PREDICTIONS
WOODEN SPOONERS 2025 NRL HEADLINES
WHY YOUR TEAM CAN’T WIN THE NRL 2025 PREMIERSHIP
2024 NRL Season Stats Summary
Want a comprehensive catch up on all the stats from the 2024 season? Follow the links below.
Or check out the quick summary of NRL 2024 Stats.
