NRL | 2025 NRL Round 1 Tips Predictions & Stats

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There ain’t no second prize screamed Jimmy Barnes, but we guess there is for the other 13 teams who didn’t get to soak up the Las Vegas hype. Not that Kogarah, Campbelltown or AAMI Park are any less glamourous and exciting than Las Vegas. Talking of second prize, our 2025 NRL Round 1 Tips Predictions & Stats Preview could be enough to get you as high as second in your local tipping comp. And on your way to enough winnings to go to Vegas next season. Or the Rooty Hill RSL, either way.

Each week this season we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, throw in a bunch of barely interesting stats, and mix in a pinch of opinion, some spicy tips and you have a rugby league soup with probably more flavour than one could ever need or want. It’s all you can eat NRL stats.

2025 NRL Round 1 Matches

Thu  7:00 pm  Sydney Roosters v  Brisbane Broncos
Fri  5:00 pm  Wests Tigers v  Newcastle Knights
Fri  7:05 pm  Dolphins v  South Sydney Rabbitohs
Sat  4:30 pm  St. George Illawarra Dragons v  Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs
Sat  6:35 pm  Manly Warringah Sea Eagles v  North Queensland Cowboys
Sun  3:05 pm  Melbourne Storm v  Parramatta Eels

 

2025 NRL Round 1 Tips

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Here are our tips for the week ahead. How did we get to here? By going through all the visuals and stats below.

2025 NRL Round 1 Tips Image

READ MORE: Our 2025 Match Centre Home

 

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2025 NRL Round 1 Tips Weekly H2H Stats Summary

Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?

Here’s as much information that we could cram into one size fits all visual.

Plus our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.

2025 NRL Round 1 Tips - Stats

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2025 NRL Round 1 Tips Weekly Barely Interesting Stats

Our famed barely interesting stats all in the one place for this week of fewer games.

ROO v BRI

Roosters have won five of the past six games v Broncos.

Roosters have won nine of their last 11 home games v Broncos.

Roosters have won all three of the clashes at home v Broncos on a Thursday.

Broncos have lost their last four away games on a Thursday v all opposition.

Roosters have won 22 of their last 26 games v Qld opposition.

Roosters have lost four of their last five Round 1 fixtures at the SFS.

 

WTI v NEW

Newcastle have won six in a row v Wests Tigers.

Tigers lead Newcastle 4-2 in the Friday H2H but none of those games have been at Campbelltown or Leichhardt.

Wests Tigers have lost their last three Round 1 games but hold a decent Round 1 record of 63%. Amazingly their last two Round 1 games at Campbelltown have seen wins by the exact same scoreline of 34-26.

Going back to 2015, Newcastle have won just five of their last 23 away games on a Friday.

Wests Tigers have lost their last seven games at Campbelltown on a Friday, and won just three of 15 games there as the Wests Tigers.

 

DOL v SOU

Souths have lost four of their last five away games in Round 1. Dolphins are undefeated in Round 1 v Sydney based clubs.

Including pre season games, South Sydney have lost their last nine games.

Dolphins have a record of W5 L1 v Sydney teams at Suncorp Stadium.

Dolphins have lost all four games at Suncorp Stadium on a Friday.

South Sydney have won three of their last four on a Friday at Suncorp Stadium.

 

BUL v STI

Bulldogs are on a three game winning run v St George Illawarra.

Bulldogs have won seven of their last eight games v Dragons on a Saturday.

Bulldogs record at Kogarah is W8 L3 since 1998.

Dragons have won their last two Round 1 games.

Bulldogs have won just two of their last 12 Round 1 games. Unfairly, the last six Round 1 games for the Bulldogs have been away games. Some of those games have been in Townsville and Auckland.

 

MAN v NQL

North Queensland have won five of their last six games at Brookvale.

Manly have won just two of their last eight home games v Qld opponents. Three of those home games have been at Suncorp Stadium.

North Queensland’s last away game ended their season in the finals, but prior to that the Cowboys had won six straight away trips.

North Queensland have won eight of their last ten v Sydney opposition.

Cowboys are W1 L3 for Round 1 games v Sydney opposition away. Overall it is W12 from 27 Round 1 games.

Manly have only won three games of nine matches from Round 1 at Brookvale.

 

MEL v PAR

Melbourne last lost a Round 1 match in 2001.

Melbourne have won eight of their last nine matches at AAMI Park on a Sunday.

Melbourne have won 18 of their last 20 home matches at AAMI Park.

Melbourne have won four in a row v Eels, but lost the four games before that.

Melbourne have won 12 of the 13 games played v Parramatta on a Sunday.

 

2025 NRL Round 1 Stats

Here’s the overall Round 1 Stats since 1998. Plus the last five and ten seasons.

2025 NRL Round 1 Tips All Time Win %

2025 NRL Round 1 Tips All Time Win % last 5 - 10

 

 

2025 NRL Season Preview Stuff

We’ve done a lot of stuff ahead of the new NRL season, and here it all is.

READ MORE: THE GURGLER’S 2025 NRL SEASON SPECIALS

NRL 2025 BOLD PREDICTIONS

NRL 2025 SEASON LADDER PREDICTIONS

WOODEN SPOONERS 2025 NRL HEADLINES

WHY YOUR TEAM CAN’T WIN THE NRL 2025 PREMIERSHIP

2025 NRL JERSEYS RATINGS

2025 NRL DRAW ANALYSIS

 

 

2024 NRL Season Stats Summary

Want a comprehensive catch up on all the stats from the 2024 season? Follow the links below.

2024 NRL SEASON STATS BY TEAM

Or check out the quick summary of NRL 2024 Stats.

2025 NRL Round 1 Tips - 2024 Stats

 

 

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Max Laynehttps://www.thegurgler.com
Max has no time for long bios, he has only time for sport and then more sport. Each week he tries to sum up what sport has tickled the collective fancy of The Gurgler.

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