Welcome to our weekly look at the upcoming weekend of NRL, handy for those still suffering a hangover of alcohol and/or disappointment following State of Origin Two. Talking of disappointment, here’s our NRL Round 16 Predictions Stats Preview + Alternative Tips.
Each week we offer up a quick preview glance for each match, a bunch of barely interesting stats, probably more than one could ever need or want.
We also offer up some alternative tips. These alternative tips are often based on a rugby league stat, and sometimes something completely absurd, and are aimed at those NRL tipsters who just can’t be bothered.
This week it’s based on post Origin Two game form since we’re still in the mood.
So enjoy the 2022 NRL Round 16 Predictions Stats Preview + Alternative Tips where there’s something for everyone. Mostly.
2022 NRL Round 16 Predictions – Alternative Tips – Winning % after State of Origin II
Short on inspiration already? Or looking for that edge to your tipping that no one else in your competition has? Well here are the Alternative NRL Tips for this round.
Since we’ve just enjoyed / endured State of Origin game two, why not check which teams win more games in the round directly after the second interstate challenge like we did post Origin One.
Those more likely to do so from 2010 below, are more likely to do it this year.
ALTERNATIVE TIPS 2022 PROGRESS – 59% – 69/116
2022 NRL Round 16 Predictions – Gurgler Tips
Can we beat our own Alternative NRL tips? Usually not, so again we’ll have to keep trying.
STORM to beat Sea Eagles
KNIGHTS to beat Titans
PANTHERS to beat Roosters
BULLDOGS to beat Sharks
COWBOYS to beat Broncos
RABBITOHS to beat Eels
WARRIORS to beat Tigers
RAIDERS to beat Dragons
OUR TIPS – 66% – 77/116
2022 NRL Round 16 Weekly H2H Stats
Looking for a cheat sheet for the weekend’s upcoming games?
Much like Noah and his ark, ours come in twos.
Here’s as much information that we could cram into one visual, or two. Click on the images for a closer look. It looks marginally more impressive closer up.
2022 NRL Round 16 Barely Interesting Stats Summary
Here we take the best points of interest for each match coming up this weekend, and share them with you for no cost. Feel free to share with friends and family.
Melbourne are on a six game winning streak v Manly. They have also won the only Thursday clash.
The Storm have won their past two away Thursday games v Sydney sides by a combined 96-0.
Manly have won just one of six Thursday night games at home.
Gold Coast last beat Newcastle as the away side in 2016.
Titans have lost ten straight away games.
Based on ladder position at the time of the match – no team has played a top eight side more than the Titans (12). They have lost all 12 matches v top eight sides. The good news is they are 3/3 v bottom eight sides this season.
Newcastle last beat a Queensland team on a Friday in 2013 – five games ago.
Penrith haven’t lost to the Roosters since before Nathan Cleary got banned for his Covid Tik Tok dance session.
Penrith’s worst winning % Day since 2020 is Friday.
Roosters have lost all seven away games on a Friday to Sydney opposition since 2020.
Bulldogs have won four of the last five v Sharks on a Saturday.
Sharks have scored 16 or 18 six of the last eight times they’ve played on a Saturday.
John Howard was still PM when the Broncos last won in Townsville on a Saturday – 2005.
Brisbane have won just one of their last ten away games on a Saturday.
Cowboys have won ten in a row on a Saturday v Qld teams. Their last loss was to the Gold Coast in 2012.
Souths are on a four game winning streak v Parramatta H2H, and on a Saturday. They are also on a seven game winning streak at the Olympic Stadium on a Saturday.
Not to spoil the party, but the Warriors have won just one of their last eight games at Mt Smart Stadium. And they last won a Sunday game at Mt Smart in April 2017.
Warriors have won four in a row v Wests Tigers but the games have been decided by 4, 2, 4 and 6 points.
Wests Tigers have won just one of their last nine away games and all of their last five on a Sunday.
Canberra has the worst winning record after the second game of State of Origin II going back to 2010. Just one win from nine outings.
Canberra have won ten of the last 13 games against the Dragons on a Sunday.
2022 NRL Round 16 Barely Interesting Stats Extra
Going further than the summary above are some even more barely interesting stats.
EACH TEAM’S WINNING RECORD AFTER STATE OF ORIGIN II SINCE 2010
Moving forward from the alternative tips using post Origin Two form since 2010 is the full visual below.
ALL TEAMS WINNING RECORD FROM ALL NZ GAMES SINCE 1998
Since the rugby league is returning to New Zealand this weekend, it’s a great time to see how every team has fared since 1998.
Warriors are only fifth is a bit of a surprise, but there haven’t been many wins lately.
WINNING RECORD IN JULY
New month, new stats to put up. This one is each team’s winning record in July since 1998.
PENRITH’S WINNING RECORD BY DAY SINCE 2020
Are Penrith that invincible? On Thursday since 2020 maybe yes, but below is the winning % for Penrith by day of match. Thankfully for Roosters fans for Round 16, Friday is Penrith’s worst day.
EACH TEAM’S OVERALL FOR AND AGAINST FOR ALL HOME GAMES SINCE 1998
Ever wondered what the total of the for and against difference would be since 1998? If the answer is yes you’re in luck, we have the results of for and against for all home teams since 1998, all but two teams have positive points difference.
2022 NRL Round 16 NRL 2022 Season – Team Stats
We have taken the best of the NRL data and turned them into visuals you can use to enjoy your rugby league this weekend.
There’s run metres, kicking stats, errors, tackled and lack of tackles.
Plus we also have each team’s record against the top and bottom teams and home v away.
There’s so much you’ll need to stop halfway to catch your breath.
TEAM RECORD V TOP & BOTTOM EIGHT SIDES
Note – top / bottom eight is decided at time of match not current ladder.
TEAM RECORD – HOME & AWAY
Note – not the awful soap on Channel 7
KICKING STATS
Note: last graph is a 100% breakdown of kick types.
RUNNING STATS
TACKLES
BAD BOYS
2022 NRL Season Prediction Results
Our tips jumped ahead of the alternative tips last week, so now onto bigger and better things.
ALTERNATIVE TIPS
6/8 First Round Form
4/8 More Dangerous Mascot
3/8 Best H2H
6/8 April Fools
7/8 Bad Boy Points (Penalties/Sin Bins etc)
5/8 Greens Votes
6/8 Marginal Seats
5/8 Covid Cases
6/8 May Record
3/8 Suncorp Stadium Record
4/8 ALP Voting
2/8 Green / Teal Colour Wheel
1/4 June Form since 1998
6/8 Post Origin I Form
5/8 Winter Form
