That two week round of Premier League games was simply not enough football in our opinion, so our Premier League Week 27 Predictions and Preview will hopefully be a welcome sight for those who crave way too much football.
Each week our preview includes just enough quick info and barely interesting stats to help you decide a winner. Or to provide just enough barely interesting information leading into the big weekend of football.
If you enjoy loads of stats and graphs with some opinion, then you will enjoy our full Premier League Week 26 Predictions and Preview.
More Reading: Our Fantasy Premier League Preview
Premier League Week 27 Predictions
GAME BY GAME PREVIEW
Here’s our match by match review and our own Premier League Predictions Week 27. With loads of stats as below. But keep in mind the following…
Match H2H are for the League fixtures only, because who knows what teams play in cups these days.
Our barely interesting facts are just that, barely interesting. But takes in all competitions and cups. Or whatever suits the stat.
CHELSEA v SPURS
SATURDAY 12:30pm
H2H STATS – Last 10/20 Seasons
2019-20 FORM COMPARISON
THOUGHTS & STUFF
Jose Mourinho returns to Stamford Bridge with a new team, and the battle is on now for fourth place. Just one point apart now, and a growing numbers of teams just behind makes this a must-not-lose affair. Which should suit Jose.
Why Chelsea Can Win….
Chelsea have a great record at home to Spurs in the League. Spurs did win the away game two seasons ago, but their previous league win there pre-dates the Premier League.
Jose’s record against Chelsea is hit and miss at 40%. But his scoring record v Chelsea is not good. See our barely interesting stat.
Chelsea have a 2.2 v 1.5 average points per game advantage over Spurs for intra London games.
Chelsea have won all games between these sides before 3pm in the past 20 seasons.
Why Spurs Can Win….
Chelsea are yet to take a point against their opponent at home who were top six when they met. Their record against big six clubs at home isn’t great either 0.33 average points per game.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Of the teams that Jose Mourinho has played five or more times, against three sides he averages less than a goal a game – two are former clubs Chelsea and Real Madrid. The other is Sampdoria.
Chelsea have created more chances than Liverpool this season – 315 v 312.
Final Say:
Chelsea 0 Spurs 0
CRYSTAL PALACE v NEWCASTLE
SATURDAY 3:00pm
H2H STATS – Last 10/20 Seasons
2019-20 FORM COMPARISON
THOUGHTS & STUFF
This one has zzzzzzzzzzzzzz written all over it.
Why Crystal Palace Can Win….
Crystal Palace have an impressive 2.5 average points per game against bottom six sides at home. Although Newcastle aren’t quite bottom six, but they have been.
Crystal Palace have conceded half the goals at home as Newcastle away.
Why Newcastle Can Win….
Newcastle have a great record against Crystal Palace in London. In 13 games stretching back to 1980, they have only lost twice.
Newcastle has an impressive 2.6 average points against teams with striped kits.
Newcastle have scored more goals away than Crystal Palace at home, just.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Four of the last seven games on a Saturday between these sides has ended 1-0.
Final Say:
Crystal Palace 0 Newcastle 0
BURNLEY v BOURNEMOUTH
SATURDAY 3:00pm
H2H STATS – Last 10/20 Seasons
2019-20 FORM COMPARISON
THOUGHTS & STUFF
Burnley could almost be safe with a win here, their recent form says survival.
Why Burnley Can Win….
Since 2000, Burnley have lost just two games v Bournemouth on a Saturday.
Burnley have won three of their last four, the other is a draw.
Burnley have an average points per game of 2.5 v South Coast teams.
Why Bournemouth Can Win….
The Cherries have won two of their last three.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Since Round 13, these sides have traveled an almost identical path on the Premier League table.
These sides have the worst and third worst total number of shots.
Final Say:
Burnley 1 Newcastle 0
SHEFFIELD UTD v BRIGHTON
SATURDAY 12:30pm
H2H STATS – Last 10/20 Seasons
Before this season these sides hadn’t met since 05/06 in the Championship. Sheffield United won both.
2019-20 FORM COMPARISON
THOUGHTS & STUFF
Sheffield United will be ready to pounce after the early game could take care of one of the opponents for the top four/five, and Brighton are not in great form.
Why Sheffield Utd Can Win….
Because they have the second best defense in the league.
Brighton’s away goals conceded total is the third worst.
Brighton haven’t won their last five away games.
Sheffield Utd have an average points per game of 2.5 v Bottom Six sides.
Why Brighton Can Win….
Perhaps the Blades will be distracted by talk of Champions League places after the Man City news.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Sheffield United have lost just one of the past nine games.
Final Say:
Sheffield Utd 2 Brighton 0
SOUTHAMPTON v ASTON VILLA
SATURDAY 3:00pm
H2H STATS – Last 10/20 Seasons
2019-20 FORM COMPARISON
THOUGHTS & STUFF
This clash should at least provide loads of goals for the neutral.
Why Southampton Can Win….
Danny Ings
Southampton hold the upper hand in recent H2H clashes.
Southampton have a 100% record v promoted sides.
Why Aston Villa Can Win….
Jack Grealish
Southampton have lost four out of their last five. Although, Aston Villa are barely better with their record with just one win in their last five too, but an extra point from a draw.
Barely Interesting Stat:
This game has loads of goals based on previous encounters. 39 goals in the last 10 games is a decent strike rate,
Final Say:
Southampton 2 Aston Villa 1
LEICESTER v MAN CITY
SATURDAY 5:30pm
H2H STATS – Last 10/20 Seasons
2019-20 FORM COMPARISON
THOUGHTS & STUFF
This week’s premium game, and a real test to see where Man City’s ambitions. If they win here they will go 7 points clear of Leicester in second place.
Why Leicester Can Win….
Jamie Vardy is due to score again, soon, surely.
Man City may be distracted by European worries.
Why Man City Can Win….
Kevin de Bruyne.
Man City have a perfect record in the Premier League against blue kits this season. Leicester have a record of just 0.9 points against teams from the north west.
Leicester have a terrible record against both the big six and top six away. 0 points v Big Six, and 0.25 average points per game against the bottom six away.
Barely Interesting Stat:
At Leicester, the home side has avoided defeat just once in the past matches with Man City.
On Saturdays at home v Man City – Leicester have won just once in eight games.
Final Say:
Leicester 1 Man City 2
MAN UTD v WATFORD
SUNDAY 2:00pm
H2H STATS – Last 10/20 Seasons
2019-20 FORM COMPARISON
THOUGHTS & STUFF
Watford need to rediscover their winning ways, and Man Utd are a hit and miss prospect at home this season to lower ranked opposition. Man Utd’s new signing Odion Ighalo appears ready to make his debut just in time to play his former club.
Why Man Utd Can Win….
Watford’s record at Old Trafford isn’t great, judge for yourself in the barely interesting stat.
Watford have the worst Shots on Target % this season, and are 10% worse off than fourth best Man Utd (27% v 37%)
Watford haven’t won in four games.
Why Watford Can Win….
Troy Deeney is a beast.
Man Utd haven’t won their last two home games.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Watford last avoided defeat at Old Trafford in 1986 with a 1-1 win, and their last win there was in the 1979 League Cup.
Final Say:
Man Utd 1 Watford 2
WOLVES v NORWICH
SUNDAY 2:00pm
H2H STATS – Last 10/20 Seasons
2019-20 FORM COMPARISON
THOUGHTS & STUFF
A battle of the last two Championship winners, one team looking increasingly likely to be heading back there, and the other possibly heading to a competition with Champions in it.
Why Wolves Can Win….
Wolves have a great record v bottom six sides this season.
Norwich have a poor record away, especially to upper half sides.
Norwich have also only won once this season away.
Why Norwich Can Win….
Because they can take advantage of being fresh, unlike Wolves who played in the Europa League on Thursday.
Wolves have only won one of their last five home games.
Pukki.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Wolves hold the upper hand on a Sunday 3-1 over Norwich. Our above stat is for the last 20 seasons.
Final Say:
Wolves 3 Norwich 1
ARSENAL v EVERTON
SUNDAY 4:30pm
H2H STATS – Last 10/20 Seasons
2019-20 FORM COMPARISON
THOUGHTS & STUFF
If fifth place is the new fourth place thanks to Man City, then these teams all of a sudden have a realistic chance of Champions League with a run of decent results. Hard to think that is possible given their situations at times this season.
Why Arsenal Can Win….
Arsenal have won two of their last three at home, the other was a draw.
Everton haven’t beaten Arsenal at home for a long time. 1996 to be exact.
Arsenal haven’t lost to Everton in February in 20 seasons.
Why Everton Can Win….
Carlo Ancelotti has a decent 50% win rate v Arsenal.
No team has made more goal attempts from header than Everton.
Barely Interesting Stat:
For games on Sundays between these sides, all but one of the 17 matches have ended in either a home win to either side or an Arsenal away win. The one being a draw. So Arsenal can’t lose.
Final Say:
Arsenal 2 Everton 0
LIVERPOOL v WEST HAM
MONDAY 8:00pm
H2H STATS – Last 10/20 Seasons
2019-20 FORM COMPARISON
THOUGHTS & STUFF
Liverpool edge closer to being the Champions of England in addition to the same title of Europe, while West Ham edge closer to the Championship. The Olympic Stadium will probably hold the modern day record for second tier ground size.
Why Liverpool Can Win….
Refer entire 19/20 season.
Liverpool have almost double the xG of West Ham this season.
West Ham have conceded three times as many goals as Liverpool.
Why West Ham Can Win….
West Ham have a better shot on target % than Liverpool.
Barely Interesting Stat:
Going back to 1981, West Ham have scored just two goals in midweek games at Liverpool in 11 attempts. Their record is nine losses and two draws.
Final Say:
Liverpool 3 West Ham 0
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