Best Abetz for the 2016 Election Night – Wagering on the 2016 Federal Election

The Gurgler loves Election Night and a little social wagering - so what better way to enjoy it all than combining them for one great night.

It’s almost over. The longest election campaign in Australian history, and if not it feels like it.

As the TV ads ramp up until the blackout on Thursday night, the reality begins to set in that you will have to vote on Saturday and put at least one political party out of their misery. And yours.

Whether you like Jobs and Growth, Medicare or the Environment, there’s one sure way you can enjoy Saturday night. Well two actually, as the first is watching ABC Election guru Anthony Green working his magic.

The second is some casual gambling, as a social wager can make anything dull and annoying more interesting. With the possible exception of Rugby Union, Oscars and Harness Racing.

We have the highlights of the markets on offer.

All odds were obtained from Sportsbet. We haven’t been paid for this though, but happy to sell out if they do. And they do offer more Election betting than you pork barrel.

 

TEARY EYED NIGHT
Leader to cry during Concession/Victory speech
AL $4 / Coalition $5
GURGLER TIPS – Neither. Robots don’t cry.

 

ALP CONCESSION SPEECH TIME
Favourite: 10pm – 10:59pm @ $2.75
GURGLER TIPS: 11pm – 11:59pm @ $3

 

COALITION VICTORY SPEECH
Favourite: 11pm – 11:59pm @ $2.75
GURGLER TIPS: JJ Cale @ $3

 

COLOUR OF BILL SHORTEN’S TIE
Favourite: Red @ $1.40
GURGLER TIPS: Red @ $1.40

 

COLOUR OF MALCOLM TURNBULL’S TIE
Favourite: Blue @ $1.40
GURGLER TIPS: Yellow/Gold @ $8

 

COLOUR OF LAURIE OAKES’ TIE
Favourite: Red/Mauve @ $2
GURGLER TIPS: Other @ $7

 

WHAT CHANNEL WILL PAULINE HANSON FIRST APPEAR ON SATURDAY NIGHT?
Channel Nein @ $2.25
Sky Channel @ $2.50
Channel 7 @ $6
ABC/Ch 10 @ $11

 

BEST PERFORMING ALP SEAT
Favourite: Calwell @ $4
GURGLER TIPS: Gorton @ $7

 

BEST PERFORMING COALITION SEAT
Favourite: Mallee @ $2
GURGLER TIPS: Moncrieff @ $11

 

QUEENSLAND COALITION 2PP VOTE
Favourite: 51-52 @ $2.75
GURGLER TIPS: 49-50 @ $11

All states avaialable

NICK XENOPHON v GREENS LOWER HOUSE MORE SEATS
NXT @ $1.68 Greens $2.10
GURGLER TIPS: NXT

 

INFORMAL VOTE % LOWER HOUSE
Favourite: 5.50% to 6% @ $3
GURGLER TIPS: 4% to 5% @ $7.50

 

VOTER TURNOUT
Favourite: 93% to 93.49% @ $2.15
GURGLER TIPS: 94% + @ $6.00

 

CLOSEST ELECTION RESULT
Favourite: Cowan @ $11
GURGLER TIPS: Capricornia @ $15

 

GREENS PRIMARY VOTE %
Favourite: 8-9 or 9-10 or 10-11 @ $4
GURGLER TIPS: 7-8 @ $11

 

EDEN MONARO (Bellweather)
Mike Kelly (ALP) $1.35
Set to lose bell weather tag.

 

ELECTION FORECAST
Favourite: Coalition +2 / Hung Parliament @ $3.50
GURGLER TIPS” Coalition +6 @ $8

 

About Gerry Mander 20 Articles
With a keen eye on all things news and especially politics after years of serving under Antony Green, Gerry has joined the Gurgler team to give his insights into the upcoming Queensland election.